Unión Comercio vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 2 Unión Comercio - Santos
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 7
Unión Comercio - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Villanueva C. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Curiel M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gonzalez N. , Arrieta J. ,
  • 46', Morales G. , Vargas D. ,
  • 46', Montoya C. , Delgado G. ,
  • 63', Curiel M. , Colon S. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Villanueva C. ,
  • 71', Velasco S. 🟨,
  • 72', Villanueva C. , Mendoza Cornejo F. G. ,
  • 81', Marcos N. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 86', Arrieta J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Reategui M. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Velasco S. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
68%
Draw
20.7%
Santos
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 22.1% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 21.1% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Unión Comercio - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.45)
    4.39
    (4.1)
    8.03
    (5.96)
    10%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 3.
    • Unión Comercio has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Unión Comercio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Unión Comercio is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Unión Comercio will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión Comercio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Santos were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Santos - Unión Comercio 0:2
    14.06.2025 Santos - Unión Comercio 2:1
    26.04.2025 Unión Comercio - Santos 3:1
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Latest results of Santos
    09.08.2025 Santos - San Marcos 3:0
    03.08.2025 ADA Jaén - Santos 1:2
    26.07.2025 Santos - Unión Comercio 0:2
    06.07.2025 Santos - Cantolao 2:0
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cajamarca833210:8214
    2Moquegua833214:11313
    3Cesar Vallejo832310:10011
    4Tacna Heroica824211:12-110
    5Carlos Mannucci822415:19-48


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio870118:41421
    2Comerciantes823312:7511
    3ADA Jaen82429:9010
    4Santos831410:11-110
    5San Marcos81254:22-186

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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