Arsenal vs Bournemouth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Emirates Stadium (London).

: Premier League - Round 35
Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.06
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
13	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
85% (361/425)	83% (341/411)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	1.15
Total shots
13	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
33	10
Accurate through passes
3	1
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
16	7
Passes
85% (361/425)	83% (341/411)
Long passes
38% (14/37)	42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
74% (87/118)	65% (54/83)
Crosses
13% (1/8)	40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	0.73
Throw-ins
14	13
Fouls
7	16
Tackles
75% (9/12)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
47	34
Clearances
14	17
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
1.15	1.57
Goals prevented
-0.85	0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Rice D. ⚽, Odegaard M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Evanilson 🟨,
64', Ouattara Da. 🟨,
65', Araujo J. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
65', Kluivert J. ↓, Semenyo A. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Huijsen D. ⚽, Semenyo A. (A),
74', Rice D. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
74', Ouattara Da. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Evanilson ⚽,
86', Martinelli G. ↓, Sterling R. ↑,
86', White B. ↓, Zinchenko O. ↑,
86', Saka B. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
87', Evanilson ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Arsenal
54.2%

Draw
24.8%

Bournemouth
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

24.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Arsenal - Bournemouth Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.92)	3.9 ↑ (3.78)	4.59 ↑ (3.94)	2.8% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Arsenal - Bournemouth?

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 28 - 56%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 2 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 42.2% – 69.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Bournemouth (votes: 5 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Arsenal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Knee Injury) Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Jorginho (Chest Injury) Neto (Loan agreement) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bournemouth: Christie R. (Groin Injury) Evanilson (Red Card) Sinisterra L. (Hamstring Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:15. (average 2.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Bournemouth?

Arsenal has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bournemouth won against Arsenal?

Bournemouth has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Bournemouth were as follows:

19.10.2024 Bournemouth - Arsenal 2:0

24.07.2024 Arsenal - Bournemouth 2:1

04.05.2024 Arsenal - Bournemouth 3:0

30.09.2023 Bournemouth - Arsenal 0:4

04.03.2023 Arsenal - Bournemouth 3:2

Latest results of Arsenal

29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Ipswich Town - Arsenal 0:4 ✺

16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Arsenal - Brentford 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Bournemouth

27.04.2025 Bournemouth - Manchester United 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Bournemouth - Fulham 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 West Ham United - Bournemouth 2:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Bournemouth - Ipswich Town 1:2 ✺

English Premier League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86:41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69:34	35	74
3	Manchester City	38	21	8	9	72:44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64:43	21	69
5	Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68:47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58:51	7	66
7	Nottingham	38	19	8	11	58:46	12	65
8	Brighton	38	16	13	9	66:59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58:46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66:57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54:54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51:51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42:44	-2	48
14	West Ham	38	11	10	17	46:62	-16	43
15	Manchester Utd	38	11	9	18	44:54	-10	42
16	Wolves	38	12	6	20	54:69	-15	42
17	Tottenham	38	11	5	22	64:65	-1	38
18	Leicester	38	6	7	25	33:80	-47	25
19	Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36:82	-46	22
20	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26:86	-60	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - Bournemouth?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, TNT
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus