Richmond Tigers vs Essendon Bombers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers
12/07/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Richmond Tigers
31.8%
Essendon Bombers
68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Richmond Tigers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Essendon Bombers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 2.
    • Richmond is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Essendon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Richmond may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Essendon is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1760:1368. (average 88:68.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 720:633. (average 80:70.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers 81:58
    25.05.2024 Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers 74:86
    20.05.2023 Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers 71:70
    Latest results of Richmond Tigers
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Western Bulldogs1610061716:1288133.2340
    5Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    6Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    7Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1641111237:160177.2618
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

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