Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

: J1 League - Round 22

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.62	2.18
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
85% (334/391)	87% (394/455)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62	2.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.78	1.38
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
6	6
Shots inside the Box
10	13
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
25	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
85% (334/391)	87% (394/455)
Long passes
35% (11/31)	36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
73% (74/101)	85% (104/123)
Crosses
43% (10/23)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	1.06
Throw-ins
25	15
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
50% (8/16)	54% (13/24)
Duels won
47	51
Clearances
20	35
Interceptions
14	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.38	1.78
Goals prevented
-0.66	1.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
10', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Toshima S. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Harada W. 🟨,
65', Watai M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
66', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
66', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
67', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
68', Hidaka H. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
70', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
73', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
76', Uno Z. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
76', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
78', Capixaba 🟨,
83', Brunetti M. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
88', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
90+4', Nakagawa N. ↓, Baba S. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
33.1%

Draw
27.8%

Kashiwa Reysol
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26.6%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

26.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3)	3.4 ↓ (3.59)	2.39 ↑ (2.31)	5.9% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Inactive) Tezuka K. (Injury) Yamada Y. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

06.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

21.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka 0:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Matsumoto Yamaga 4:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 4:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe 1:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	25	15	2	8	37:24	13	47
2	Kashiwa Reysol	25	13	8	4	35:23	12	47
3	Vissel Kobe	25	14	4	7	34:24	10	46
4	Kyoto	25	13	6	6	42:30	12	45
5	Machida	25	13	4	8	36:25	11	43
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	25	13	4	8	29:18	11	43
7	Urawa Reds	25	11	8	6	34:25	9	41
8	Kawasaki Frontale	25	10	8	7	40:31	9	38
9	Cerezo Osaka	25	10	7	8	40:34	6	37
10	Avispa Fukuoka	25	9	8	8	26:25	1	35
11	Gamba Osaka	25	10	4	11	29:34	-5	34
12	Okayama	25	9	6	10	23:22	1	33
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	25	8	7	10	29:32	-3	31
14	Verdy	25	8	7	10	16:24	-8	31
15	FC Tokyo	25	8	5	12	27:35	-8	29
16	Nagoya Grampus	25	7	7	11	29:35	-6	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	25	6	6	13	20:39	-19	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	25	5	6	14	23:33	-10	21
19	Yokohama FC	25	5	4	16	15:32	-17	19
20	Albirex Niigata	25	4	7	14	25:44	-19	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan