EC São José Porto Alegre vs Guarany de Bagé: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé
Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 11
EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
53
Total shots
148
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
117
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


EC São José Porto Alegre
59.7%
Draw
25.1%
Guarany de Bagé
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 21.8% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.52)
    3.66
    (3.9)
    6.05
    (5)
    8.9%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).
    • EC São José is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Guarany de Bagé's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • EC São José may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, EC São José is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that EC São José will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, EC São José won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Guarany de Bagé - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:0
    04.02.2024 EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé 1:1
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia
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