Derby County vs Reading: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League One Derby County - Reading
Result
2:1
12/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Derby County - Reading - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
59.1%
Draw
24%
Reading
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 23.8% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 22.9% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Derby County - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.67)
    3.97
    (3.97)
    5.51
    (4.81)
    5.9%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: Derby County will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.75%98.67%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Reading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 23 head-to-head matches Derby won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-34.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-20.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Reading were as follows:
    23.01.2024 Reading - Derby County 1:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Reading
    02.03.2024 Carlisle United - Reading 1:3
    24.02.2024 Reading - Shrewsbury Town 2:3
    20.02.2024 Reading - Port Vale 2:0
    17.02.2024 Portsmouth - Reading 4:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1072118:11723
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff962115:51020
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Stockport County1044215:13216
    8Barnsley951314:12216
    9Doncaster1051410:11-116
    10Luton950412:9315
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham92167:13-67
    22Blackpool92168:15-77
    23Peterborough102177:18-117
    24Burton81255:14-95

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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