OHiggins vs Unión Española: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division OHiggins - Unión Española
Result
1:0
15/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 14
  • Referee: Vergara M. (Chi)
OHiggins - Unión Española - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.52
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
74% (266/359)72% (214/297)
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.29
Total shots
188
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
167
Passes
74% (266/359)72% (214/297)
Long passes
41% (24/58)52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
56% (56/100)53% (40/76)
Crosses
24% (7/29)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.51
Throw-ins
2925
Fouls
716
Tackles
75% (12/16)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.291.28
Goals prevented
0.29-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Pereira S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Montecinos J. 🟨,
  • 67', Gonzalez M. , Morales C. ,
  • 72', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
  • 73', Nadruz A. , Jauregui B. ,
  • 73', Ovelar F. , Vasquez R. ,
  • 75', Pereira S. 🟨,
  • 77', Aranguiz P. , Celis M. ,
  • 81', Rabello B. (Pen),
  • 85', Pinto G. , Castillo A. ,
  • 86', Uribe A. , Nunez I. ,
  • 88', Ramirez S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Jauregui B. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 1 - 0, Leiva J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


OHiggins
45.8%
Draw
26%
Unión Española
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 25.6% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 24.3% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OHiggins's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Española's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OHiggins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Española, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • OHiggins - Unión Española Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.69)
    3.59
    (3.64)
    3.34
    (4.83)
    6.6%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for OHiggins - Unión Española?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Unión Española will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. OHiggins (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 1.
    • Recent performances by OHiggins have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Unión Española has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • OHiggins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, OHiggins has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, OHiggins is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, OHiggins won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between OHiggins - Unión Española were as follows:
    25.09.2024 Unión Española - OHiggins 0:1
    26.04.2024 OHiggins - Unión Española 2:2
    12.11.2023 Unión Española - OHiggins 3:3
    08.10.2022 Unión Española - OHiggins 0:0
    Latest results of OHiggins
    Latest results of Unión Española
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo1595119:71232
    2A. Italiano15102328:181032
    3Palestino1584322:14828
    4O'Higgins1575315:15026
    5U. De Chile1381429:131625
    6Cobresal1565419:18123
    7U. Catolica1464420:14622
    8Union La Calera1564515:11422
    9Colo Colo1363423:131021
    10Huachipato1553720:23-318
    11La Serena1552819:27-817
    12Nublense1537514:22-816
    13Everton1535715:25-1014
    14Limache1534817:23-613
    15U. Espanola14211112:27-157
    16Deportes Iquique15131115:32-176

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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