Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Severstal Cherepovets: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey KHL Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets
09/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
57.2%
Draw
21.8%
Severstal Cherepovets
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 21.7% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 19.8% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.67)
    4.32
    (4.4)
    4.48
    (4.5)
    6.3%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.
    • Lokomotiv has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Severstal is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Severstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lokomotiv is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 61:39. (average 3.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 3.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets 2:3
    20.08.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets 0:2
    10.03.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets 3:0
    04.03.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 0:5
    14.02.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1:5
    KHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Cherepovets110005:02
    2CSKA Moscow110006:22
    3Shanghai110007:42
    4Spartak Moscow110004:32
    5Nizhny Novgorod110004:32
    6Lokomotiv Yaroslavl101002:12
    7Lada000000:00
    8Dinamo Minsk000000:00
    9Sochi100013:40
    10SKA St. Petersburg100014:70
    11Dynamo Moscow100012:60


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Khabarovsk110002:02
    2Barys Astana101004:32
    3Magnitogorsk101004:32
    4Tractor Chelyabinsk200204:62
    5Bars Kazan100103:41
    6Avangard Omsk000000:00
    7Yekaterinburg000000:00
    8Vladivostok000000:00
    9Salavat Ufa100013:40
    10Novosibirsk100010:20
    11Niznekamsk100010:50

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