Result
2:1
13/01/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 16
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Chances of winning
Alcúdia
63.5% | Draw
22.1% | Arenal
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcúdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcúdia's performance.Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcúdia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alcúdia - Arenal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.82) |
4.09 ↑
(3.25) |
6.29 ↑
(4.09) |
10.5%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Alcúdia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Arenal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alcúdia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Alcúdia is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcúdia won against Arenal?
Alcúdia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenal won against Alcúdia?
Arenal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcúdia - Arenal were as follows:
Latest results of Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manacor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | Pena Deportiva | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Mallorca B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 10 |
| 4 | Constancia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Mercadal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Llosetense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Inter Ibiza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Formentera | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Collerense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Platges de Calvia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Felanitx | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Cardassar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Rotlet Molinar | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Portmany | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
| 18 | Alcudia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Alcúdia - Arenal?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
