Guaraní Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 13
Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.66
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
71% (247/347)66% (212/319)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.20
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
71% (247/347)66% (212/319)
Long passes
39% (21/54)34% (29/85)
Passes in final third
50% (38/76)55% (63/115)
Crosses
9% (1/11)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.36
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
1112
Tackles
77% (10/13)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5456
Clearances
2929
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.201.67
Goals prevented
0.20-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
  • 24', Arrua C. 🟨,
  • 32', Canete Torres A. D. , Franco F. ,
  • 45+7', Maiz A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', Cabanas V. , Martinez L. ,
  • 63', Valdez I. , Prieto R. ,
  • 63', Arrua C. , Benitez H. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 78', 🟥,
  • 78', 1 - 0, ,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
33.1%
Draw
29.3%
Nacional Asuncion
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27.3% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 27.7% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.28)
    3.13
    (3.3)
    2.45
    (2.7)
    6.8%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Guaraní has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0
    26.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 2:1
    15.02.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2
    29.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 0:0
    20.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 2:1
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani15102333:132032
    2Cerro Porteno1594226:161031
    3Nacional Asuncion1575320:13726
    42 de Mayo1574420:17325
    5Recoleta1673625:22324
    6Sportivo Trinidense1565420:18223
    7General Caballero JLM1554615:21-619
    8Olimpia Asuncion1654721:26-519
    9Libertad Asuncion1546516:14218
    10Sp. Luqueno1552818:25-717
    11Ameliano15321015:29-1411
    12Atl. Tembetary15131114:29-156

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
    paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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