Leeds United vs Preston North End: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Elland Road (Leeds).

: Championship - Round 42
Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.71	0.33
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
20	3
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
87% (458/525)	81% (306/379)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.71	0.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.41	1.27
Total shots
20	3
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
12	0
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
15	1
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
35	5
Through passes
33% (1/3)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
7	4
Passes
87% (458/525)	81% (306/379)
Long passes
52% (24/46)	33% (15/46)
Passes in final third
79% (139/175)	55% (42/77)
Crosses
43% (6/14)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.06	0.18
Fouls
4	7
Tackles
30% (3/10)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
35	38
Clearances Total
13	21
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.27	2.41
Goals prevented
0.27	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Solomon M. ⚽, Gruev I. (A),
6', 1 - 1, Kesler-Hayden K. ⚽, Frokjaer-Jensen M. (A),
13', 2 - 1, Bogle J. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
45+1', Hughes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Brady R. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
65', Storey J. ↓, Porteous R. ↑,
73', Darlow K. 🟨,
80', Gnonto W. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
81', Aaronson B. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
81', Meghoma J. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
87', Ampadu E. 🟨,
88', Hughes A. ↓, Lindsay L. ↑,
88', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Carroll T. ↑,
90+5', Solomon M. ↓, Byram S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Leeds United
76.2%

Draw
16.2%

Preston North End
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

18.2%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76%

16.9%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leeds United's performance.

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Leeds United - Preston North End Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)	5.83 ↑ (5.18)	12.79 ↑ (8.53)	5.2% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Leeds United - Preston North End?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 19 - 95%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 85.4% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leeds United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 1.
Leeds is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Preston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Leeds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Preston have a series of home games.
In this match Leeds is absolute favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Leeds won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:13 (average 1.4:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1.4:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Leeds United won against Preston North End?

Leeds United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Preston North End won against Leeds United?

Preston North End has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leeds United - Preston North End were as follows:

14.12.2024 Preston North End - Leeds United 1:1

21.01.2024 Leeds United - Preston North End 2:1

26.12.2023 Preston North End - Leeds United 2:1

Latest results of Leeds United

08.04.2025 Middlesbrough - Leeds United 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Leeds United - Swansea City 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United 2:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Preston North End

08.04.2025 Preston North End - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Preston North End - Stoke City 1:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Derby County - Preston North End 2:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Preston North End - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Preston North End - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	9	5	4	0	27:7	20	19
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	12:6	6	18
3	Leicester	9	4	4	1	13:8	5	16
4	Preston	9	4	4	1	11:7	4	16
5	Stoke	9	4	3	2	11:6	5	15
6	QPR	9	4	3	2	13:14	-1	15
7	West Brom	9	4	2	3	9:10	-1	14
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	9:12	-3	14
9	Ipswich	8	3	4	1	15:8	7	13
10	Bristol City	9	3	4	2	15:10	5	13
11	Watford	9	3	3	3	11:11	0	12
12	Swansea	9	3	3	3	10:10	0	12
13	Charlton	9	3	3	3	8:8	0	12
14	Portsmouth	9	3	3	3	8:9	-1	12
15	Hull	9	3	3	3	14:16	-2	12
16	Birmingham	9	3	3	3	8:11	-3	12
17	Southampton	9	2	5	2	11:12	-1	11
18	Wrexham	9	2	4	3	14:15	-1	10
19	Norwich	9	2	2	5	11:14	-3	8
20	Derby	9	1	5	3	11:15	-4	8
21	Blackburn	8	2	1	5	7:11	-4	7
22	Oxford Utd	9	1	3	5	10:13	-3	6
23	Sheffield Wed	9	1	3	5	8:20	-12	6
24	Sheffield Utd	9	1	0	8	3:16	-13	3

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Which TV channels are streaming of Leeds United - Preston North End?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+