Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : LaLiga - Round 8
- Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (381/443) | 83% (343/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (381/443) | 83% (343/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (37/53) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (120/153) | 66% (43/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Williams I. (Pen),
- 36', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
- 45+2', Darder S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Laporte A. 🟨,
- 53', Williams I. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
- 62', Serrano N. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
- 62', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
- 66', Torre P. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
- 66', Domenech M. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
- 68', Arrasate J. 🟨,
- 75', Muriqi V. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Samu Costa ⚽, Joseph M. (A),
- 82', Navarro R. ↓, Izeta ↑,
- 82', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Rego A. ⚽, Areso J. (A),
- 83', Morlanes M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 88', Mojica J. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,
- 88', Maffeo P. ↓, Lato T. ↑,
- 89', Raillo A. 🟨,
- 90', Areso J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vivian D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Roman L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao
59.2% | Draw
25.5% | Mallorca
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.5) |
3.78 ↓
(4.08) |
6.34 ↓
(6.87) |
3.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Mallorca will win (votes: 1 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 35.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 44.2% – 78.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
- Athletic has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mallorca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletic is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y.
(Doping)
Egiluz U.
(Knee Injury)
Prados Diaz B.
(Knee Injury)
Sancet O.
(Injury)
Vesga M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T.
(Muscle Injury)
Kumbulla M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mascarell O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodriguez D.
(Suspended)
Virgili J.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Berenguer A.
(Toe Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Mallorca?
Athletic Bilbao has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mallorca won against Athletic Bilbao?
Mallorca has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca were as follows:
09.03.2025
Athletic Bilbao
-
Mallorca
1:1
28.10.2024
Mallorca
-
Athletic Bilbao
0:0
06.04.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Mallorca
2:1
02.02.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Mallorca
4:0
03.09.2023
Mallorca
-
Athletic Bilbao
0:0
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:9 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Elche | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Espanyol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Valencia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | R. Oviedo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Girona | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:17 | -12 | 6 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Mallorca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bangladesh | Begin |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
 Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, SCTV 15 |
