Zwolle vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Zwolle - Ajax
Result
0:1
09/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 25
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
Zwolle - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.44
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
26
Shots off Goal
64
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
33
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
59
Offsides
31
Fouls
95
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
2723
Touches in the Opposition Box
1735
Passes
76% (304/400)83% (438/526)
Passes in the final third
57% (61/107)69% (84/121)
Crosses
19% (3/16)8% (1/12)
Tackles
76% (13/17)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
1624
Interceptions
1110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Brobbey B. , Traore B. ,
  • 32', Thomas R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Thomas R. , Fichtinger N. ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, Taylor K. (Pen),
  • 70', Godts M. , Henderson J. ,
  • 70', Fitz-Jim K. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 72', Mbayo D. , Velanas O. ,
  • 72', Van Den Berg D. , de Rooij K. ,
  • 80', Fichtinger N. , Buitink T. ,
  • 84', Taylor K. , van den Boomen B. ,

Chances of winning


Zwolle
15%
Draw
21.7%
Ajax
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.9% 21.3% 61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 20.8% 63.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Zwolle - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.35
    (5.61)
    4.39
    (4.44)
    1.51
    (1.53)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Zwolle - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 52.1%90.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Ajax have a series of home games.
    • In this match Ajax is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Zwolle: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) Lagsir S. (Knee Injury) Monteiro J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Rasmussen C. (Muscle Injury) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury) Weghorst W. (Toe Injury) Wijndal O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zwolle: Namli Y. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Pasveer R. (Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 16:47 (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11:23 (average 1.1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Ajax were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Ajax - Zwolle 2:0
    05.07.2024 Ajax - Zwolle 0:1
    31.03.2024 Zwolle - Ajax 1:3
    17.12.2023 Ajax - Zwolle 2:2
    Latest results of Zwolle
    02.03.2025 Heracles Almelo - Zwolle 4:2
    16.02.2025 Zwolle - Heerenveen 1:1
    09.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:0
    01.02.2025 Zwolle - Utrecht 3:3
    26.01.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle 1:4
    Latest results of Ajax
    06.03.2025 Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2
    02.03.2025 Almere City - Ajax 0:1
    23.02.2025 Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles 2:0
    20.02.2025 Ajax - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    16.02.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 4:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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