Result
1:1
31/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Challenge League - Round 28
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (216/311) | 72% (256/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (216/311) | 72% (256/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/58) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (69/106) | 52% (61/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.54 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (26/31) | 63% (17/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 58 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', Sabbatini J. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Muller S. (Pen),
- 42', 1 - 1, Nivokazi R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dickenmann M. ↓, Kessler R. ↑,
- 49', Lusuena N. 🟨,
- 61', Krasniqi J. 🟨,
- 69', Toure Y. ↓, Essiam E. ↑,
- 69', Lusuena N. ↓, Perrault T. ↑,
- 76', Nkama J. 🟨,
- 79', Souza Espana C. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
- 82', Fazliu V. ↓, Filet E. ↑,
- 82', Koide H. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
- 89', Fofana M. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
28.6% | Draw
28.3% | Aarau
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Bellinzona - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.89) |
3.25
(3.25) |
2.14 ↓
(2.34) |
8.5%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 3.
- Bellinzona has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Aarau is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Aarau will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Chukwuemeka C.
(Injury)
Diarra I.
(Injury)
Matondo H.
(Yellow Cards)
Sangare M.
(Injury)
Sorensen A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bellinzona: Souza Espana C.
(Inactive)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:24 (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bellinzona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.5:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Aarau?
Bellinzona has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Bellinzona?
Aarau has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Aarau were as follows:
01.02.2025
Aarau
-
Bellinzona
2:1
09.11.2024
Bellinzona
-
Aarau
1:4
31.08.2024
Aarau
-
Bellinzona
1:2
26.04.2024
Aarau
-
Bellinzona
0:2
29.03.2024
Bellinzona
-
Aarau
5:2
Latest results of Bellinzona
Draw
PromotionFinal| 1 | Grasshoppers | Aarau | 0 : 1, 4 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Bellinzona - Aarau?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
