Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian A-League Women Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners
Result
1:2 penalties
18/05/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League Women - Play Offs - Final
Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.39
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
3015
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
72% (311/431)70% (315/450)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.600.60
Total shots
3015
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
145
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
1410
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3915
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
818
Passes
72% (311/431)70% (315/450)
Long passes
30% (22/74)35% (25/72)
Passes in final third
59% (98/166)54% (60/111)
Crosses
48% (10/21)5% (1/22)
Expected assists (xA)
2.780.40
Throw-ins
4545
Fouls
188
Tackles
75% (15/20)65% (15/23)
Duels won
4762
Clearances
4238
Interceptions
1513
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
310
xGOT faced
0.601.60
Goals prevented
-0.400.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Gomez I. ,
  • 52', Galic B. 🟨,
  • 63', Jancevski A. 🟨,
  • 66', Lowe R. , Furphy H. ,
  • 72', Rowe S. , Hughes B. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Bunge C. , Murphy A. (A),
  • 86', Nunn B. , Fuller T. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', King , Kraszula G. ,
  • 109', Gomez I. 🟨,
  • 110', Rasmussen A. , Trimis P. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Jancevski A. (Pen),
  • 1, Fuller T. (Pen),
  • 2, Gielnik E. (Pen),
  • 2, Trimis P. (Pen),
  • 3, Chidiac A. (Pen),
  • 3, Pennock J. (Pen),
  • 4, Furphy H. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez I. (Pen),
  • 5, Morrison K. (Pen),
  • 5, Galic B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory
58%
Draw
21.7%
Central Coast Mariners
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 23.1% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 22.1% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Victory's performance.
  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.78)
    4.23
    (4.04)
    4.52
    (3.84)
    9%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
    • Melbourne Victory is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Central Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Melbourne Victory is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Melbourne Victory will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 0:1
    16.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 2:0
    22.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:1
    14.04.2024 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 0:1
    10.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustralia10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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