Al Akhdoud vs Al-Nassr Riyadh: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Saudi Professional League
Soccer Saudi Professional League Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Result
0:9
12/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Saudi Professional League - Round 31
Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.136.12
Ball Possession
25%75%
Total shots
425
Shots on target
115
Big Chances
08
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (162/213)94% (608/648)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.136.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.047.30
Total shots
425
Shots on target
115
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
219
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
08
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
437
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
812
Passes
76% (162/213)94% (608/648)
Long passes
40% (19/47)81% (26/32)
Passes in final third
44% (24/54)86% (153/177)
Crosses
20% (1/5)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.212.32
Throw-ins
1112
Fouls
128
Tackles
33% (3/9)73% (16/22)
Duels won
3143
Clearances
2011
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
7.300.04
Goals prevented
-1.700.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Yahya A. ⚽,
  • 20', 0 - 2, Duran J. ⚽, Yahya A. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 3, Brozovic M. ⚽,
  • 42', Al Sulaiheem A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 0 - 4, Mane S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 5)
  • 46', Musona K. ↓, Bassogog C. ↑,
  • 47', Vitor P. 🟥,
  • 49', Asiri N. ↓, Al Najjar R. ↑,
  • 52', 0 - 5, Duran J. ⚽, Otavio (A),
  • 59', 0 - 6, Mane S. ⚽, Yahya A. (A),
  • 60', Otavio ↓, Angelo ↑,
  • 60', Yahya A. ↓, Wesley ↑,
  • 64', 0 - 7, Mane S. ⚽, Boushal N. (A),
  • 65', Pato ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
  • 65', Saviour G. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
  • 68', Brozovic M. 🟨,
  • 70', Al Fatil M. ↓, Aman A. ↑,
  • 70', Lajami A. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
  • 74', 0 - 8, Mane S. ⚽, Boushal N. (A),
  • 76', Mane S. ↓, Marran M. ↑,
  • 85', Al Zubaidi Y. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
  • 90+4', 0 - 9, Marran M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Al Akhdoud
18%		Draw
21.1%		Al-Nassr Riyadh
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 19.6% 64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 19.6% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
    •

    Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.27 ↓
    (5.66)    		 4.42 ↓
    (4.76)    		 1.53 ↑
    (1.46)    		 6.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 79.4% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Al-Nassr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    09.01.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:1
    09.05.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3
    24.11.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:0
    Latest results of Al Akhdoud
    01.05.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Wahda Mecca 1:2 ✺
    23.04.2025 Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud 0:1 ✺
    17.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 0:0 ✺
    11.04.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun 1:1 ✺
    04.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    07.05.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah 2:3 ✺
    30.04.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale 2:3 ✺
    26.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:4 ✺
    22.04.2025 Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3 ✺
    18.04.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1 ✺
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal00000:000
    2Al Ettifaq00000:000
    3Al Ittihad00000:000
    4Al Shabab00000:000
    5Al Ahli SC00000:000
    6Al Hazem00000:000
    7Al Nassr00000:000
    8Al Fateh00000:000
    9Al Qadisiya00000:000
    10Al Taawon00000:000
    11Al Khaleej00000:000
    12Al Najma00000:000
    13Al Riyadh00000:000
    14Neom SC00000:000
    15Damac00000:000
    16Al Fayha00000:000
    17Al Okhdood00000:000
    18Al Kholood00000:000

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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