Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers
Result
5:6
25/05/2025 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
127
Errors
11
2B - double
13
3B - triple
10
Home Runs
10
Runs batted in
55
Left on base
106
Base on Balls
45
Strikeouts
112
Stolen bases
10
At bat
3733
Batting Average
0.3240.212

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Pirates
42.2%
Milwaukee Brewers
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 51%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Pirates's form might have worsened.
  • Milwaukee Brewers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milwaukee Brewers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Pirates, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milwaukee Brewers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milwaukee Brewers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.91)

    1.67
    (1.83)
    3.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Milwaukee will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milwaukee: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milwaukee Brewers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.
    • Pittsburgh is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Milwaukee's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Gonzales N. (Ankle Injury) Holderman C. (Finger Injury) Lawrence J. (Elbow Injury) Mayza T. (Shoulder Injury) Moreta D. (Elbow Injury) Oviedo J. (Elbow Injury) Valdez E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Milwaukee: Ashby A. (Abdominal strain) Bukauskas J.B. (Muscle Injury) Cortes N. (Elbow Injury) Gasser R. (Elbow Injury) Hall D. L. (Back Injury) Mitchell G. (Abdominal strain) Pannone T. (Forearm injury) Perkins B. (Leg Injury) Quintana J. (Shoulder Injury) Thomas C. (Elbow Injury) Woodruff B. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Diamond D. (Injury) Rodriguez E. (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milwaukee: Castillo L. (Injury) Woessner T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 74:85. (average 3.7:4.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 44:53. (average 3.4:4.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers 2:1
    23.05.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers 6:5
    22.05.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers 5:8
    26.09.2024 Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers 2:5
    25.09.2024 Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers 2:1
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Tigers744727358:2740.635
    2New York Yankees724230370:2720.583
    3Houston Astros734231306:2590.575
    4Tampa Bay Rays734033333:2690.548
    5Toronto Blue Jays723933307:3180.542
    6Seattle Mariners723735316:3120.514
    7Cleveland Guardians713635273:2980.507
    8Boston Red Sox753837355:3390.507
    9Minnesota Twins723636300:2940.500
    10Texas Rangers733637266:2440.493
    11Los Angeles Angels723537297:3540.486
    12Kansas City Royals733538243:2660.479
    13Baltimore Orioles723141285:3600.431
    14Athletics753045318:4390.400
    15Chicago White Sox732350250:3220.315


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Chicago Cubs734528390:2830.616
    2New York Mets734528332:2530.616
    3Los Angeles Dodgers744529413:3370.608
    4Philadelphia Phillies734330342:3110.589
    5San Francisco Giants734132311:2670.562
    6San Diego Padres723933304:2840.542
    7Milwaukee Brewers743935319:3000.527
    8Cincinnati Reds733835341:2990.521
    9St.Louis Cardinals733835340:3120.521
    10Arizona Diamondbacks723636365:3710.500
    11Atlanta Braves713239295:2820.451
    12Washington Nationals733043305:3740.411
    13Miami Marlins712942292:3780.408
    14Pittsburgh Pirates742945235:2930.392
    15Colorado Rockies731657255:4520.219

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