Lorenzo Sonego vs Marcos Giron: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Chengdu Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron
Result
0:2
19/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/8-finals
Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
60%61%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (32/40)92% (35/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
37% (10/27)42% (10/24)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
21% (8/38)25% (10/40)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (14/24)63% (17/27)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)25% (2/8)
Winners
1420
Unforced Errors
1310
Net Points Won
64% (16/25)89% (17/19)
Service Points Won
63% (42/67)72% (46/64)
Return Points Won
28% (18/64)37% (25/67)
Total Points Won
46% (60/131)54% (71/131)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Sonego
50.7%
Marcos Giron
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.
  • Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcos Giron's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcos Giron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.64)

    1.93
    (2.07)
    5.2%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Giron will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sonego (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Giron (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sonego is ranked ATP: 44. Giron is ranked ATP: 50.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sonego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sonego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron were as follows:
    06.11.2023 Marcos Giron - Lorenzo Sonego 1:2
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Latest results of Marcos Giron
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Prizmic D. (NG)0 : 2
    3McDonald M. (Q)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4Basilashvili N. (Q)Harris B. (LL)2 : 0
    5Griekspoor T. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T. (Q)Wong C. (WC)2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Monfils G. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Misolic F.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)1 : 2
    9Sonego L. (8)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    10Giron M.Quinn E.2 : 0
    11Bergs Z.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Norrie C. (5)Zhou Y. (WC)1 : 2
    14Halys Q.O'Connell C.1 : 2
    15Thompson J.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    2McDonald M.Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (3)Daniel T.1 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)2 : 1
    5Sonego L. (8)Giron M.0 : 2
    6Shang J.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Zhou Y.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    8Tabilo A.Darderi L. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Basilashvili N.2 : 0
    2Daniel T.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    3Giron M.Nakashima B. (4)1 : 2
    4O'Connell C.Tabilo A.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tabilo A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (1)Tabilo A.1 : 2
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