Chicago Stars vs San Diego Wave: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer NWSL Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave
Result
0:3
26/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NWSL Women
  • Referee: Chesky D. (Usa)
Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.84
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
80% (304/380)86% (556/650)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.052.64
Total shots
129
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
510
Passes
80% (304/380)86% (556/650)
Long passes
59% (26/44)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
57% (56/99)63% (85/136)
Crosses
14% (1/7)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.28
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
105
Tackles
78% (18/23)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3537
Clearances
1610
Interceptions
1912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.641.05
Goals prevented
0.301.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Lundkvist H. , Armstrong T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', Barcenas M. , Sanchez M. ,
  • 68', Schlegel A. , Barry C. ,
  • 68', Joseph J. , Johnson M. ,
  • 73', Corley G. , Leon A. ,
  • 81', 0 - 2, Staab S. (Own goal),
  • 83', Grosso J. , Nesbeth L. ,
  • 83', Biegalski C. , Gomes N. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 3, Ascanio K. , Leon A. (A),
  • 90+4', Morroni P. , McNabb K. ,
  • 90+4', Ascanio K. , Favour E. ,
  • 90+4', Cascarino D. , Robbe M. ,

Chances of winning


Chicago Stars
21.8%
Draw
25%
San Diego Wave
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 23.9% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17% 23% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego Wave might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego Wave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.25
    (5.17)
    3.71
    (3.82)
    1.74
    (1.57)
    8%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chicago won 3.
    • Chicago is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches San Diego Wave is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Chicago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match San Diego Wave is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave 1:0
    28.06.2024 San Diego Wave - Chicago Stars 0:3
    01.07.2023 Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave 1:0
    25.03.2023 San Diego Wave - Chicago Stars 3:2
    16.10.2022 San Diego Wave - Chicago Stars 2:1
    Latest results of Chicago Stars
    Latest results of San Diego Wave
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W970219:61321
    2San Diego Wave W952216:10617
    3Orlando Pride W951315:7816
    4Portland Thorns W1044216:11516
    5Washington Spirit W951316:15116
    6Seattle Reign W94238:7114
    7Angel City W942315:16-114
    8Gotham W1033412:10212
    9North Carolina Courage W933311:10112
    10Bay FC W932410:12-211
    11Racing Louisville W93249:14-511
    12Houston Dash W93158:14-610
    13Utah Royals W91267:16-95
    14Chicago W91175:19-144

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    canadaCanadaTSN 2
    usaUsaion TV, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV
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