Sebastian Baez vs Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/10/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
1	3
Double Faults
0	5
1st Serve Percentage
72%	62%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (28/51)	76% (32/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (10/20)	35% (9/26)
Break Points Saved
62% (8/13)	50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
26% (11/42)	45% (23/51)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (17/26)	50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)	38% (5/13)
Winners
15	29
Unforced Errors
13	18
Net Points Won
41% (7/17)	56% (14/25)
Service Points Won
54% (38/71)	60% (41/68)
Return Points Won
40% (27/68)	46% (33/71)
Total Points Won
47% (65/139)	53% (74/139)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)	73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)	45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)	59% (13/22)

Chances of winning

Sebastian Baez
20.1%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

78.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (4.47)		1.2 ↓ (1.22)	4.7% (4.7%)

What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rune will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Baez is ranked ATP: 41. Rune is ranked ATP: 11.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baez won 3.
Recent form of Baez has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rune's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Rune may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Rune is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Baez won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune?

Sebastian Baez has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune won against Sebastian Baez?

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune were as follows:

16.04.2025 Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez 2:1

13.05.2024 Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 2:1

26.10.2023 Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez 2:0

Latest results of Sebastian Baez

01.10.2025 Zhizhen Zhang - Sebastian Baez 1:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez 2:0 ✺

18.09.2025 Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Baez Canceled ✺

25.08.2025 Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris 0:3 ✺

20.08.2025 Sebastian Baez - Botic Van De Zandschulp 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

28.09.2025 Jenson Brooksby - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Ethan Quinn - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 0:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Hamad Medjedovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 0:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Francisco Cerundolo 0:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Jaume Munar - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Canceled ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Bye
2	Tien L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
3	Cazaux A.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Norrie C. (30)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
6	Arnaldi M.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)	Svrcina D. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Medvedev D. (16)
9	Khachanov K. (9)	Bye
10	Kovacevic A.	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
11	Van De Zandschulp B.	Borges N.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Vukic A. (LL)
13	Nakashima B. (29)	Bye
14	Majchrzak K.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
15	Ugo Carabelli C.	Atmane T. (RET.)	0 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
17	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
18	Royer V. (Q)	Navone M.	2 : 1
19	Rinderknech A.	Medjedovic H. (RET.)	0 : 1
20	Bye	Michelsen A. (28)
21	Shapovalov D. (23)	Bye
22	Dzumhur D.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
23	McDonald M. (LL)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Lehecka J. (15)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Bye
26	Giron M.	Tabilo A. (Q)	0 : 2
27	Zhou Y. (WC)	De Jong J.	1 : 2
28	Bye	Mensik J. (17)
29	Darderi L. (26)	Bye
30	Bu Y.	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 1
31	Comesana F.	Blanchet U. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
33	Shelton B. (6)	Bye
34	Goffin D.	Muller A.	2 : 1
35	Opelka R.	Bonzi B.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Diallo G. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
38	Mannarino A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
39	Korda S.	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Ruud C. (11)
41	Rublev A. (13)	Bye
42	Nishioka Y. (Q)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
43	Munar J.	Fucsovics M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cobolli F. (22)
45	Tiafoe F. (25)	Bye
46	Sonego L.	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Cilic M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Fritz T. (5)	Bye
50	Marozsan F.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 1
51	Ofner S. (PR)	Nardi L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
53	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
54	Thompson J.	Holmgren A. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Zhang Z. (WC)	Baez S.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Rune H. (10)
57	Bublik A. (14)	Bye
58	Djere L.	Vacherot V. (Q)	0 : 2
59	Walton A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (20)
61	Griekspoor T. (27)	Bye
62	Brooksby J. (PR)	Trotter J. K. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Altmaier D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Tien L.	1 : 2
2	Cazaux A.	Norrie C. (30)	1 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Svrcina D.	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
5	Khachanov K. (9)	Shang J.	0 : 2
6	Borges N.	Vukic A.	2 : 0
7	Nakashima B. (29)	Majchrzak K.	0 : 2
8	Ugo Carabelli C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Zverev A. (3)	Royer V.	2 : 0
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A. (28)	2 : 0
11	Shapovalov D. (23)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
12	Halys Q.	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	De Jong J.	Mensik J. (17)	2 : 1
15	Darderi L. (26)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
16	Comesana F.	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (6)	Goffin D.	0 : 2
18	Bonzi B.	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (19)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
20	Bergs Z.	Ruud C. (RET.) (11)	1 : 1
21	Rublev A. (13)	Nishioka Y.	1 : 2
22	Munar J.	Cobolli F. (22)	2 : 0
23	Tiafoe F. (25)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
24	Cilic M.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Fritz T. (5)	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
26	Nardi L.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
27	Humbert U. (21)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
29	Bublik A. (14)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2
30	Bellucci M.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (27)	Brooksby J.	2 : 1
32	Altmaier D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Tien L.	Norrie C. (30)	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
3	Shang J.	Borges N.	1 : 2
4	Majchrzak K.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
5	Zverev A. (3)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Shapovalov D. (23)	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
8	Darderi L. (26)	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
9	Goffin D. (RET.)	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 0
10	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Munar J.	1 : 2
12	Hanfmann Y.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
13	Fritz T. (5)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
14	Humbert U. (21)	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
15	Vacherot V.	Machac T. (RET.) (20)	1 : 0
16	Griekspoor T. (27)	Sinner J. (RET.) (2)	1 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Tien L.	Medvedev D. (16)	1 : 2
2	Borges N.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
3	Rinderknech A.	Lehecka J. (15)	2 : 0
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0
5	Diallo G. (31)	Bergs Z.	1 : 2
6	Munar J.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
7	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	Rune H. (10)	1 : 2
8	Vacherot V.	Griekspoor T. (27)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
2	Rinderknech A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	2 : 0
3	Bergs Z.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Rune H. (10)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	Rinderknech A.
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Vacherot V.

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

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