Tottenham Hotspur vs Southampton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton
Result
3:1
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 31
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.04
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
89% (419/472)89% (413/466)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.04
xG on target (xGOT)
3.430.44
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2524
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2016
Passes
89% (419/472)89% (413/466)
Long passes
46% (18/39)46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
78% (92/118)82% (113/138)
Crosses
13% (2/15)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.57
Fouls
1620
Tackles
65% (11/17)62% (18/29)
Duels won
4855
Clearances Total
1416
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.443.43
Goals prevented
-0.560.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Johnson B. , Spence D. (A),
  • 26', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Johnson B. , Maddison J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Son Heung-Min , Odobert W. ,
  • 57', Bentancur R. , Sarr P. M. ,
  • 60', Porro P. 🟨,
  • 64', Aribo J. , Smallbone W. ,
  • 64', Manning R. , Welington ,
  • 73', Dibling T. , Sugawara Y. ,
  • 73', Archer C. , Onuachu P. ,
  • 80', Bergvall L. , Gray A. ,
  • 80', Maddison J. , Bissouma Y. ,
  • 83', Ugochukwu L. , Stewart R. ,
  • 87', Solanke D. , Tel M. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Fernandes M. , Sulemana K. (A),
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Tel M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Tottenham Hotspur
69.7%
Draw
17.6%
Southampton
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.3% 18.2% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 16% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tottenham Hotspur that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.43)
    5.45
    (5.29)
    7.67
    (6.64)
    3.9%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 43 - 84.3%). S`hampton will win (votes: 6 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 74.3%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 2.
    • Tottenham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • S`hampton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Tottenham is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Tottenham: Danso K. (Thigh Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Downes F. (Yellow Cards) Fraser R. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tottenham: Richarlison (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Larios J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Onuachu P. (Injury) Smallbone W. (Groin Injury) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 49:28 (average 2.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tottenham won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:14 (average 2.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur 0:5
    18.03.2023 Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur 3:3
    Latest results of Tottenham Hotspur
    Latest results of Southampton
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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