Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/493) | 85% (348/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/493) | 85% (348/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (92/144) | 66% (51/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 8', 1 - 0, Krejci L. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
- 12', Lopez F. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, Stach A. ⚽,
- 41', Bogle J. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 3, Okafor N. ⚽, Stach A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lopez F. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
- 46', Gomes R. ↓, Bueno H. ↑,
- 46', Bellegarde J. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
- 70', Okafor N. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
- 72', Toti ↓, Andre ↑,
- 72', Mosquera Y. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 83', Longstaff S. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
- 83', Bogle J. ↓, Justin J. ↑,
- 90+2', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
- 90+2', Aaronson B. ↓, Gruev I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wolverhampton Wanderers
25.3% | Draw
32.2% | Leeds United
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolverhampton Wanderers's form might have worsened.Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolverhampton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(2.47) |
3.29 ↓
(3.4) |
2.45 ↓
(3.03) |
-5.9%
(2.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). Leeds will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolverhampton: 23.5% – 59.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Leeds (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L.
(Knee Injury)
Larsen J. S.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Leeds: Lucas Perri
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Hoever K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Leeds: Gnonto W.
(Calf Injury)
James D.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolverhampton Wanderers won against Leeds United?
Wolverhampton Wanderers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leeds United won against Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Leeds United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United were as follows:
18.03.2023
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-
Leeds United
2:4
09.11.2022
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-
Leeds United
1:0
Latest results of Wolverhampton Wanderers
Latest results of Leeds United
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Manchester Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Brighton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Fulham | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Burnley | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | West Ham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
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