Rochdale vs Gillingham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Rochdale - Gillingham
Result
0:2
18/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 33
Rochdale - Gillingham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Rochdale
30.8%
Draw
30.3%
Gillingham
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 32.4% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 31.7% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gillingham's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gillingham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rochdale - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.63)
    3.1
    (2.88)
    2.42
    (2.9)
    6.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Rochdale - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (49.9%), has project points - 37, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • Gillingham has the most likely position - 22 (20.27%), has project points - 46, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 7, importance 44, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 0.
    • Rochdale has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gillingham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gillingham will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-24.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.
    Latest results of Rochdale
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe540110:3712
    2Chesterfield54019:6312
    3MK Dons532010:2811
    4Grimsby532010:5511
    5Gillingham53208:3511
    6Bromley52308:539
    7Walsall53025:419
    8Swindon53028:809
    9Salford53026:609
    10Tranmere42208:268
    11Harrogate52217:618
    12Fleetwood52218:808
    13Cambridge Utd52126:607
    14Barrow52034:5-16
    15Barnet52034:6-26
    16Notts Co51229:815
    17Colchester51225:6-15
    18Oldham50413:4-14
    19Newport51135:7-24
    20Bristol Rovers51133:6-34
    21Accrington40223:6-32
    22Crawley50142:9-71
    23Shrewsbury50142:12-101
    24Cheltenham50051:11-100

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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