Hertha Berlin vs Paderborn: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Hertha Berlin - Paderborn
Result
0:2
20/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
Hertha Berlin - Paderborn - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.38
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
84% (381/452)84% (401/478)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.222.43
Total shots
917
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
812
Passes
84% (381/452)84% (401/478)
Long passes
68% (42/62)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
63% (69/109)53% (46/86)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.67
Throw-ins
1712
Fouls
128
Tackles
86% (6/7)76% (16/21)
Duels won
3846
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.430.22
Goals prevented
0.430.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Castaneda S. 🟨,
  • 34', Eichhorn K. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Bilbija F. ,
  • 45+3', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gechter L. , Eitschberger J. ,
  • 46', Jensen L. , Sessa K. ,
  • 47', Eitschberger J. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Bilbija F. (Pen),
  • 60', Eichhorn K. , Gronning S. ,
  • 60', Winkler M. , Krattenmacher M. ,
  • 64', Klaas S. , Engelns L. ,
  • 64', Baur M. , Batzner N. ,
  • 78', Kownacki D. , Schuler L. ,
  • 79', Tigges S. , Michel S. ,
  • 79', Castaneda S. , Marino S. ,
  • 86', Sessa K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bilbija F. , Muller R. ,

Chances of winning


Hertha Berlin
30.7%
Draw
27.6%
Paderborn
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 25% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 24.5% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Hertha Berlin - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (2.75)
    3.64
    (3.8)
    2.38
    (2.35)
    -1.2%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hertha Berlin - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Paderborn will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Hertha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Demme D. (Head Injury) Goller T. (Shoulder Injury) Karbownik M. (Ankle Injury) Klemens P. (Ankle Injury) Kolbe N. (Broken rib) Seguin P. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Kinsombi D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hertha: Eichhorn K. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hertha Berlin - Paderborn were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Paderborn - Hertha Berlin 1:2
    03.08.2024 Hertha Berlin - Paderborn 1:2
    05.04.2024 Paderborn - Hertha Berlin 2:3
    28.10.2023 Hertha Berlin - Paderborn 3:1
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    Latest results of Paderborn
    12.09.2025 Paderborn - Bochum 1:0
    29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0
    17.08.2025 Viktoria Köln - Paderborn 1:3
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt641111:5613
    2Elversberg641111:6513
    3Hannover641110:7313
    4Kaiserslautern640212:5712
    5Schalke64027:4312
    6Paderborn63217:4311
    7Karlsruher SC63217:6111
    8Arminia Bielefeld631212:7510
    9Holstein Kiel63038:629
    10Greuther Furth630313:15-29
    11Preussen Munster62139:12-37
    12Braunschweig62137:11-47
    13Dusseldorf62135:12-77
    14SG Dynamo Dresden61239:11-25
    15Hertha Berlin61234:6-25
    16Nurnberg61144:7-34
    17Bochum61056:11-53
    18Magdeburg61057:14-73

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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