UNAM vs Puebla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX UNAM - Puebla
Result
0:0
24/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
UNAM - Puebla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.32
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
90% (457/510)82% (294/357)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.010.27
Total shots
167
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1817
Passes
90% (457/510)82% (294/357)
Long passes
73% (30/41)56% (35/63)
Passes in final third
81% (161/199)66% (46/70)
Crosses
22% (6/27)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.29
Throw-ins
248
Fouls
1718
Tackles
60% (6/10)55% (11/20)
Duels won
3749
Clearances
1031
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.270.01
Goals prevented
0.270.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Vite P. 🟨,
  • 41', Duarte R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Diaz N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Lozano E. 🟨,
  • 55', Quispe Cordova P. A. , Medina A. ,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 62', Martinez G. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 66', Ramirez M. , Castillo R. ,
  • 66', Orona E. , Moyano F. ,
  • 69', Lozano E. , Marin R. ,
  • 70', Organista A. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 72', Trigos S. , Lopez R. ,

Chances of winning


UNAM
58.3%
Draw
24.2%
Puebla
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.4% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.3% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • UNAM - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.63)
    3.83
    (3.88)
    5.4
    (5.3)
    6.8%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for UNAM - Puebla?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 40%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
    • In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puebla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, UNAM is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in UNAM: Lopez S. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in UNAM: Lara P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Puebla were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:3
    17.09.2024 UNAM - Puebla 1:0
    11.02.2024 UNAM - Puebla 3:0
    22.09.2023 Puebla - UNAM 0:2
    05.03.2023 UNAM - Puebla 2:4
    Latest results of UNAM
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 UNAM - Atlanta United 3:2
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    08.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Puebla 7:0
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    01.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Puebla 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1181231:141725
    2Monterrey1181223:17625
    3Club America1173123:111224
    4Cruz Azul1173121:14724
    5Tigres UANL1164121:91222
    6Club Tijuana1154221:111019
    7Juarez1153315:12318
    8Pachuca1152415:13217
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Club Leon1133510:18-812
    12Atl. San Luis1131716:18-210
    13Santos Laguna1131713:18-510
    14Atlas1124518:26-810
    15Necaxa1123611:20-99
    16Mazatlan FC1115513:20-78
    17Queretaro1122711:20-98
    18Puebla111289:26-175

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of UNAM - Puebla?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaNBC Universo, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
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