Mjällby vs Sirius: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Mjällby - Sirius
Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 17
  • Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
Mjällby - Sirius - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.35
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
84% (422/503)80% (305/381)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.33
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
5219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
84% (422/503)80% (305/381)
Long passes
51% (23/45)44% (29/66)
Passes in final third
72% (117/163)67% (86/128)
Crosses
25% (5/20)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.341.25
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
1312
Tackles
55% (6/11)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4043
Clearances
1645
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.331.95
Goals prevented
0.33-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Ure R. , Svensson V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Gustafson V. , Johansson H. (A),
  • 62', Thorell L. , Kjaer J. ,
  • 62', Bergstrom J. , Stavitski T. ,
  • 64', Bjerkebo I. , Widgren D. ,
  • 64', Ekstrom V. , Ljungberg A. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Stavitski T. ,
  • 76', Ure R. , Neat F. ,
  • 77', Persson J. , Sjogrell H. ,
  • 81', Johansson H. , Tidstrand L. ,
  • 81', Manneh A. , Johansson A. ,
  • 87', Sandberg S. , Milleskog N. ,
  • 90+1', Gustafson V. , Pettersson T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mjällby
58.7%
Draw
22.6%
Sirius
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 22.2% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 21.3% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Mjällby - Sirius Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.59)
    4.25
    (4.21)
    5.09
    (5)
    3.9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Mjällby - Sirius?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 47 - 95.9%). Sirius will win (votes: 1 - 2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 90.3%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mjällby will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 4.
    • Mjällby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sirius's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Mjällby is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Mjällby: Isaksson M. (Inactive) Miettinen T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sirius: Andersson H. (Inactive) Carlsson T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mjällby: Manneh A. (Injury)
    • We predict that Mjällby will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - Sirius were as follows:
    14.07.2025 Sirius - Mjällby 1:2
    03.11.2024 Sirius - Mjällby 1:1
    06.07.2024 Mjällby - Sirius 3:2
    24.07.2023 Sirius - Mjällby 2:3
    14.05.2023 Mjällby - Sirius 3:0
    Latest results of Mjällby
    20.07.2025 Mjällby - AIK 2:0
    14.07.2025 Sirius - Mjällby 1:2
    05.07.2025 Öster - Mjällby 0:1
    30.06.2025 Mjällby - Malmö 1:1
    19.06.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 0:1
    Latest results of Sirius
    20.07.2025 Sirius - IFK Göteborg 0:1
    14.07.2025 Sirius - Mjällby 1:2
    06.07.2025 IFK Göteborg - Sirius 3:1
    28.06.2025 Öster - Sirius 2:2
    19.06.2025 AIK - Sirius 1:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby19144138:152346
    2Hammarby19133336:162042
    3Elfsborg18112533:231035
    4AIK1997324:16834
    5Malmo FF1996429:171233
    6GAIS1888229:151432
    7Goteborg1891827:26128
    8Djurgarden1976622:19327
    9Brommapojkarna19721030:30023
    10Hacken1965826:33-723
    11Norrkoping19541029:37-819
    12Halmstad19531115:36-2118
    13Sirius19451024:31-717
    14Oster19361014:25-1115
    15Degerfors19431218:39-2115
    16Varnamo18151217:33-168

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mjällby - Sirius?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandHBO Max
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play
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