Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona Guayaquil: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito).

: Liga Pro - Round 19

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.77	0.78
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
86% (329/383)	83% (297/359)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.87	1.04
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
14	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
6	11
Passes
86% (329/383)	83% (297/359)
Long passes
59% (27/46)	34% (15/44)
Passes in final third
75% (56/75)	60% (44/73)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	0.27
Throw-ins
8	15
Fouls
11	6
Tackles
75% (6/8)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
31	44
Clearances
16	17
Interceptions
19	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.04	0.87
Goals prevented
0.04	-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Arreaga X. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Guagua D. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
59', Schunke R. 🟥,
62', Valiente J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
65', Guagua D. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
65', Cazares ↓, Zarate L. ↑,
67', Campi G. 🟨,
73', Oyola B. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
73', Montano J. ↓, Souza de Almeida L. ↑,
78', Carabajal M. 🟨,
82', Pata E. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
82', Briones R. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ⚽, Parrales M. (A),
90', Spinelli C. 🟨,
90', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
90+3', Corozo J. ↓, Solano C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Independiente del Valle
57.2%

Draw
24.2%

Barcelona Guayaquil
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)	3.81 ↑ (3.62)	4.98 ↑ (4.72)	8.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
Ind del Valle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Barcelona has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Barcelona Guayaquil?

Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Independiente del Valle?

Barcelona Guayaquil has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:

27.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:1

01.04.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 1:0

08.03.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 0:4

10.08.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 3:2

09.03.2024 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:1

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

29.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

22.06.2025 LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle 1:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Delfín - Independiente del Valle 1:1 ✺

27.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil

28.06.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 3:3 ✺

22.06.2025 Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:5 ✺

18.06.2025 LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta 1:2 ✺

01.06.2025 SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	25	15	8	2	45:20	25	53
2	Barcelona SC	24	13	5	6	37:27	10	44
3	LDU Quito	24	12	7	5	40:23	17	43
4	Libertad	25	10	8	7	37:32	5	38
5	Aucas	25	11	5	9	33:34	-1	38
6	Orense	25	11	5	9	27:29	-2	38
7	U. Catolica	25	9	9	7	46:33	13	36
8	Dep. Cuenca	24	10	6	8	28:25	3	36
9	Emelec	24	8	8	8	23:28	-5	32
10	EL Nacional	25	7	7	11	30:35	-5	28
11	Delfin	25	6	10	9	24:37	-13	28
12	Tecnico U	24	6	7	11	24:34	-10	25
13	Vinotinto	24	6	6	12	29:34	-5	24
14	Macara	24	5	9	10	21:26	-5	24
15	Manta	24	5	9	10	30:41	-11	24
16	Mushuc Runa	25	5	5	15	27:43	-16	20

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz