Swansea City vs Leicester City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Swansea City - Leicester City
Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 9
  • Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
Swansea City - Leicester City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.67
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
87% (434/501)84% (345/413)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.92
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1423
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
87% (434/501)84% (345/413)
Long passes
51% (32/63)49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
72% (81/113)65% (72/111)
Crosses
24% (4/17)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.48
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1011
Tackles
65% (13/20)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4242
Clearances
2536
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.921.80
Goals prevented
-2.080.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, James J. , Winks H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', De Cordova-Reid B. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 65', Vipotnik Z. , Idah A. ,
  • 65', Eom J. , Inoussa Z. ,
  • 65', Cullen L. , Galbraith E. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Idah A. (Pen),
  • 71', Cabango B. 🟨,
  • 76', Thomas L. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Fatawu I. , James J. (A),
  • 82', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 83', Ronald , Manuel Hedilazio B. ,
  • 83', Franco G. , Yalcouye M. ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, Vestergaard J. ,
  • 86', James J. , Soumare B. ,
  • 86', Monga J. , Carranza J. ,
  • 90', Fatawu I. , Thomas S. ,
  • 90+1', Pereira R. , Okoli C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City
37.1%
Draw
28.2%
Leicester City
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 26.4% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 26.5% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Swansea City - Leicester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.7)
    3.34
    (3.5)
    2.73
    (2.35)
    5.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swansea City - Leicester City?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Leicester will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1%82.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Santos R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Leicester: Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Leicester City were as follows:
    30.01.2024 Leicester City - Swansea City 3:1
    21.10.2023 Swansea City - Leicester City 1:3
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Leicester City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry954027:72019
    2Middlesbrough953112:6618
    3Leicester944113:8516
    4Preston944111:7416
    5Stoke943211:6515
    6QPR943213:14-115
    7West Brom94239:10-114
    8Millwall94239:12-314
    9Ipswich834115:8713
    10Bristol City934215:10513
    11Watford933311:11012
    12Swansea933310:10012
    13Charlton93338:8012
    14Portsmouth93338:9-112
    15Hull933314:16-212
    16Birmingham93338:11-312
    17Southampton925211:12-111
    18Wrexham924314:15-110
    19Norwich922511:14-38
    20Derby915311:15-48
    21Blackburn82157:11-47
    22Oxford Utd913510:13-36
    23Sheffield Wed91358:20-126
    24Sheffield Utd91083:16-133

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Swansea City - Leicester City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
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