Rennes vs Nantes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Rennes - Nantes
Result
2:1
18/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 30
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
Rennes - Nantes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.68
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
91% (505/554)81% (237/293)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.92
Total shots
194
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
279
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1324
Passes
91% (505/554)81% (237/293)
Long passes
74% (28/38)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
84% (135/161)56% (31/55)
Crosses
29% (7/24)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.640.31
Fouls
2413
Tackles
45% (5/11)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4746
Clearances Total
1426
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.921.78
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Lopes A. 🟨,
  • 14', Kalimuendo A. (Pen),
  • 20', Zeze N. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Truffert A. ,
  • 28', Mostafa Mohamed 🟨,
  • 34', Lopes A. , Carlgren P. ,
  • 34', Thomas S. , Coco M. ,
  • 44', Assignon L. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Douglas Augusto 🟨,
  • 45+5', Tamari M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Mostafa Mohamed , Leroux L. (A),
  • 58', Coco M. 🟥,
  • 71', Mostafa Mohamed , Lepenant J. ,
  • 77', Tamari M. , Meite M. ,
  • 77', Fofana S. , Olaigbe K. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Meite M. , Truffert A. (A),
  • 87', Amian K. 🟨,
  • 88', Kalimuendo A. , Blas L. ,
  • 90+2', Leroux L. , Kadewere T. ,
  • 90+3', Abline M. , Guirassy B. ,
  • 90+5', Blas L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rennes
52.2%
Draw
26.3%
Nantes
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 25.8% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 25.4% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Rennes - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.78)
    3.63
    (3.69)
    4.45
    (4.56)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Rennes - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 26 - 68.4%). Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 53.6%83.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rennes won 4.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Rennes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Rennes is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Rennes: Faye M. (Inactive) Seidu A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F. (Lacking Match Fitness) Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Doucoure S. (Shoulder Injury) Mahamoud A. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Rennes won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31:14 (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rennes won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:8 (average 2.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Nantes were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Nantes - Rennes 1:0
    20.04.2024 Nantes - Rennes 0:3
    01.10.2023 Rennes - Nantes 3:1
    26.02.2023 Nantes - Rennes 0:1
    09.10.2022 Rennes - Nantes 3:0
    Latest results of Rennes
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5
    06.04.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 0:1
    30.03.2025 Angers - Rennes 0:3
    15.03.2025 Lens - Rennes 1:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    04.04.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:2
    30.03.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 3:2
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0
    09.03.2025 Nantes - Strasbourg 0:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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