Swindon Town vs Reading: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Swindon Town - Reading
Result
3:2
02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
Swindon Town - Reading - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.04
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
76% (277/365)78% (348/445)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.871.19
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1628
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
76% (277/365)78% (348/445)
Long passes
40% (34/84)35% (20/57)
Passes in final third
65% (51/78)60% (82/136)
Crosses
0% (0/13)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.301.05
Throw-ins
1835
Fouls
1312
Tackles
64% (16/25)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5557
Clearances
3818
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.191.87
Goals prevented
0.19-1.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Ehibhatiomhan P. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Palmer O. ,
  • 36', 2 - 1, Ward L. (Own goal),
  • 44', 2 - 2, Marriott J. , Sackey T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mabete F. , Kilkenny G. ,
  • 46', Delaney R. , Munroe F. ,
  • 47', 3 - 2, Wright W. ,
  • 55', Barough J. , Ritchie M. ,
  • 63', Palmer O. , Tabor J. ,
  • 67', Abrefa K. 🟨,
  • 71', Marriott J. , Evans R. ,
  • 74', Wright W. , Snowdon J. ,
  • 79', Sackey T. , Borgnis J. ,
  • 79', Okine-Peters J. , Spencer S. ,
  • 80', Clarke O. , Glatzel P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
46.9%
Draw
25.6%
Reading
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 25.7% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swindon Town's performance.
  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swindon Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reading could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Swindon Town - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.45)
    3.71
    (3.54)
    3.47
    (2.54)
    5.1%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Swindon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Reading were as follows:
    10.10.2023 Reading - Swindon Town 5:0
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Reading
    30.08.2025 Reading - Port Vale 1:0
    26.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    20.08.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Reading 1:1
    16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

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