Result
1:2
10/10/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY
- Referee: Pollard C. (Eng)
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Chances of winning
Notts County
29.4% | Draw
26.3% | Derby County
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notts County's form might have worsened.Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Notts County - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.5) |
3.48 ↑
(3.4) |
2.07 ↓
(2.4) |
9.1%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Notts County - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Derby will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- Derby will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Notts County won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Derby County?
Notts County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Notts County?
Derby County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Derby County were as follows:
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Derby County
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Salford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 2 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Doncaster | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Manchester Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bolton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Manchester City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Rotherham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Harrogate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Port Vale | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Accrington | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Burton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Newport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Plymouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Tottenham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Reading | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Bromley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crawley | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colchester | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Wycombe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
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