Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Istiklol Dushanbe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer AFC Champions League 2 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe
Result
5:0
17/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFC Champions League 2 - Round 1
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.21
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
163
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (602/682)62% (128/207)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.21
xG on target (xGOT)
4.020.01
Total shots
163
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
101
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
335
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
66
Passes
88% (602/682)62% (128/207)
Long passes
65% (26/40)26% (14/54)
Passes in final third
79% (184/232)29% (14/49)
Crosses
10% (1/10)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.05
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
66
Tackles
89% (8/9)58% (14/24)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
620
Interceptions
820
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.014.02
Goals prevented
0.01-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', Al Amri A. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Ghareeb A. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Angelo , Ghareeb A. (A),
  • 26', Al Nasser S. , Boushal N. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Okoro J. 🟨,
  • 51', Nasrullozoda R. 🟨,
  • 56', Nasrullozoda R. , Safarov M. ,
  • 56', Dzhalilov M. , Juraboev A. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Wesley , Al Ghannam S. (A),
  • 66', Angelo , Coman K. ,
  • 66', Camara H. , Mane S. ,
  • 66', Joao Felix , Brozovic M. ,
  • 68', Komolafe P. , Soirov R. ,
  • 78', Al Ghannam S. , Al Najdi S. ,
  • 81', Wesley 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 0, Coman K. ,
  • 90+3', 5 - 0, Mane S. , Ghareeb A. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yet8kvah

Chances of winning


Al-Nassr Riyadh
88.4%
Draw
8.1%
Istiklol Dushanbe
3.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.8% 11% 6.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.
  • Istiklol Dushanbe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.04
    (1.13)
    11.27
    (8.5)
    26.5
    (15)
    9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
  • What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Al-Nassr have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Istiklol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe were as follows:
    05.12.2023 Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:1
    02.10.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe 3:1
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Latest results of Istiklol Dushanbe
    AFC Champions League 2 Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Wasl11007:163
    2Al-Muharraq11004:043
    3Al Wehdat10010:4-40
    4Esteghlal F.C10011:7-60


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Andijan10100:001
    2Al Ahli Doha10100:001
    3Al Khalidiyah10100:001
    4Arkadag10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hussein11001:013
    2Ahal11001:013
    3Sepahan10010:1-10
    4Mohun Bagan10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr11005:053
    2Al Zawraa11002:023
    3Goa10010:2-20
    4Istiqlol Dushanbe10010:5-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tai Po11002:113
    2Beijing Guoan10102:201
    3Cong An Ha Noi10102:201
    4Macarthur FC10011:2-10


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gamba Osaka11003:123
    2Nam Dinh11003:123
    3Eastern AA10011:3-20
    4Ratchaburi10011:3-20


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bangkok Utd11004:223
    2Lion City10101:101
    3Persib Bandung10101:101
    4Selangor10012:4-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampines11003:033
    2Pohang11001:013
    3Pathum United10010:1-10
    4Kaya10010:3-30

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