Exeter City vs Northampton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Exeter City - Northampton Town
Result
1:1
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 34
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Exeter City - Northampton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.78
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
811
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
1616
Offsides
20
Fouls
1616
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
3530
Touches in the Opposition Box
1726
Passes
62% (205/329)50% (119/240)
Passes in the final third
51% (53/104)50% (63/125)
Crosses
21% (3/14)24% (4/17)
Tackles
60% (12/20)69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
4533
Interceptions
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', McMillan J. , Niskanen I. ,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Costelloe D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Taylor T. 🟨,
  • 65', Yogane T. , Cox S. ,
  • 65', Mitchell D. , Jones P. ,
  • 65', Aitchison J. , Cole R. ,
  • 68', McGowan A. , Koiki A. ,
  • 68', Fosu T. , Roberts T. ,
  • 69', Niskanen I. 🟨,
  • 74', Woods R. , Watts C. ,
  • 74', Trevitt R. , Colwill J. ,
  • 83', Magloire T. , Willis J. ,
  • 84', Perry B. , Hondermarck W. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Cox S. ,
  • 89', Cole R. 🟨,
  • 89', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Costelloe D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Costelloe D. , Wilson J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
38.4%
Draw
29.6%
Northampton Town
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 27.7% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 28.5% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Exeter City - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.22)
    3.2
    (3.39)
    2.96
    (3.13)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Exeter City - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 18 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
    • Exeter is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Northampton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Northampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Northampton have a series of home games.
    • Exeter will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Northampton: Brough P. (Broken Leg) Eyoma T. (Hamstring Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Mbete L. (Hamstring Injury) McGeehan C. (Yellow Cards) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Cox S. (Inactive) Fitzwater J. (Injury) Sweeney P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Koiki A. (Muscle Injury) Odimayo A. (Injury) Roberts T. (Injury) Shaw L. (Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Exeter won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 17:33 (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Northampton Town were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Northampton Town - Exeter City 2:1
    20.04.2024 Northampton Town - Exeter City 1:2
    30.09.2023 Exeter City - Northampton Town 0:2
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Charlton (4)Wycombe (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Stockport County (3)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Charlton (4)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 0
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