Nakhon Pathom United vs Muangthong United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Thai League 1 Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United
Result
2:4
30/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Thai League 1 - Round 27
Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.402.10
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
70% (208/299)70% (237/338)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
2.402.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.293.10
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2223
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
128
Passes
70% (208/299)70% (237/338)
Long passes
43% (27/63)47% (38/81)
Passes in final third
55% (54/98)63% (75/120)
Crosses
44% (8/18)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.071.11
Fouls
812
Tackles
63% (10/16)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4229
Clearances Total
1630
Interceptions
13
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
3.102.29
Goals prevented
-0.900.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Tierney F. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Otakhonov A. , Arjvirai P. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 2, Khamyok K. , Arjvirai P. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 2, Filipovic V. , Phumipha E. A. (A),
  • 32', Abu Khalil M. , Otton C. ,
  • 42', 2 - 3, Arjvirai P. , Strauss J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Shamsaldin A. , Ablorh L. ,
  • 46', Wisetchat N. , Worapanichkan M. ,
  • 49', Worapanichkan M. 🟨,
  • 50', Panthong S. 🟨,
  • 64', Phutchan K. 🟨,
  • 65', Roback E. , Wettayawong K. ,
  • 65', Panthong S. , Chaikultewin W. ,
  • 69', Tierney F. , Tumsuwan S. ,
  • 76', Khamyok K. 🟨,
  • 78', Phutchan K. , Hamzah M. ,
  • 80', Sattham J. 🟨,
  • 80', Khamyok K. , Tasa K. ,
  • 84', Auksornsri T. 🟨,
  • 90', Sattham J. , Nuntagowat T. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 4, Tasa K. , Chaikultewin W. (A),
  • 90+9', Strauss J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Autra P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nakhon Pathom United
31.3%
Draw
25.7%
Muangthong United
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.8% 18.9% 67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 17.8% 71.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nakhon Pathom United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nakhon Pathom United's performance.
  • Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muangthong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nakhon Pathom United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+28.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muangthong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (6.5)
    3.57
    (4.75)
    2.12
    (1.33)
    9.3%
    (11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Muangthong United will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 7).
    • Nakhon Pathom United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Muangthong United has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Muangthong United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:12 (average 1:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United were as follows:
    29.01.2025 Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United 0:4
    11.11.2024 Muangthong United - Nakhon Pathom United 3:1
    23.02.2024 Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United 2:2
    23.09.2023 Muangthong United - Nakhon Pathom United 3:1
    Latest results of Nakhon Pathom United
    Latest results of Muangthong United
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram00000:000
    2Pathum United00000:000
    3Bangkok Utd00000:000
    4Chonburi00000:000
    5Muang Thong Utd00000:000
    6Port MTI FC00000:000
    7Chiangrai Utd00000:000
    8Ratchaburi00000:000
    9Ayutthaya Utd00000:000
    10Nakhon Ratchasima FC00000:000
    11Prachuap00000:000
    12Sukhothai00000:000
    13Lamphun Warrior00000:000
    14Uthai Thani00000:000
    15Rayong FC00000:000
    16Kanchanaburi00000:000

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    thailandThailandTrue Ball Thai 3
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