Northampton Town vs Chelsea U21: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Northampton Town - Chelsea U21
Result
3:0
23/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Northampton Town - Chelsea U21 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.72
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
80% (289/362)86% (462/535)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.51
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2411
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
915
Passes
80% (289/362)86% (462/535)
Long passes
48% (35/73)37% (15/41)
Passes in final third
61% (59/97)70% (42/60)
Crosses
31% (4/13)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.41
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
159
Tackles
50% (7/14)41% (7/17)
Duels won
4248
Clearances
1221
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.511.88
Goals prevented
0.51-1.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Swyer K. , Jacobs M. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Jacobs M. ,
  • 28', 3 - 0, List E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Taylor T. , McGeehan C. ,
  • 46', Fornah T. , Campbell D. ,
  • 46', List E. , Perkins J. ,
  • 55', Barbour K. , Gordon S. ,
  • 55', Derry J. , Runham F. ,
  • 61', Vale J. , Hoskins S. ,
  • 62', Cardoso L. , Eboue M. ,
  • 62', Nicoll Jazuli M. , Rak-Sakyi S. ,
  • 78', Swyer K. , Dyche M. ,
  • 87', McMahon H. , Da Silva I. B. P. ,

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
78.4%
Draw
12.3%
Chelsea U21
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 23.7% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 22.8% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.
  • Chelsea U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-25.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Northampton Town - Chelsea U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.81)
    9.27
    (3.88)
    12.3
    (3.59)
    -3.7%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Chelsea U21?
  • Users Predictions: Northampton Town will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chelsea U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Northampton is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Chelsea U21 were as follows:
    26.09.2023 Northampton Town - Chelsea U21 2:3
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Chelsea U21
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stockport County110005:33
    2Salford110002:03
    3Wolves U21100013:50
    4Wigan100010:20


    Group 2
    PlWWLLPts
    1Blackpool110005:03
    2Tranmere101002:22
    3Nottingham U21100102:21
    4Barrow100010:50


    Group 3
    PlWWLLPts
    1Doncaster110002:13
    2Bradford City110002:13
    3Grimsby100011:20
    4Everton U21100011:20


    Group 4
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lincoln110003:03
    2Barnsley000000:00
    3Manchester Utd U21000000:00
    4Notts Co100010:30


    Group 5
    PlWWLLPts
    1Bolton220004:06
    2Manchester City U21210015:43
    3Rotherham100010:10
    4Oldham100011:50


    Group 6
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huddersfield110006:23
    2Harrogate110001:03
    3Mansfield100010:10
    4Newcastle Utd U21100012:60


    Group 7
    PlWWLLPts
    1Port Vale110004:13
    2Fleetwood101002:22
    3Accrington100102:21
    4Leeds U21100011:40


    Group 8
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crewe110007:13
    2Burton110002:03
    3Liverpool U21100010:20
    4Chesterfield100011:70


    Group 9
    PlWWLLPts
    1Arsenal U21110002:13
    2Cardiff110001:03
    3Newport100011:20
    4Exeter100010:10


    Group 10
    PlWWLLPts
    1Plymouth220008:26
    2Bristol Rovers101004:42
    3Tottenham U21200116:101
    4Cheltenham100010:20


    Group 11
    PlWWLLPts
    1Northampton110003:03
    2Walsall110003:13
    3Shrewsbury210014:43
    4Chelsea U21200021:60


    Group 12
    PlWWLLPts
    1West Ham U21110005:13
    2Swindon110003:23
    3Reading100012:30
    4MK Dons100011:50


    Group 13
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stevenage110005:13
    2AFC Wimbledon210014:63
    3Bromley101003:32
    4Crystal Palace U21200114:61


    Group 14
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crawley110004:23
    2Leyton Orient110003:13
    3Aston Villa U21100012:40
    4Peterborough100011:30


    Group 15
    PlWWLLPts
    1Gillingham110004:13
    2Colchester110002:13
    3Wycombe100011:20
    4Fulham U21100011:40


    Group 16
    PlWWLLPts
    1Luton110004:13
    2Cambridge Utd000000:00
    3Brighton U21000000:00
    4Barnet100011:40

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