Austin II vs Minnesota United 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Austin II - Minnesota United 2
Result
2:1 penalties
23/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Austin II - Minnesota United 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.59
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
84% (349/416)84% (310/368)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.831.31
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
84% (349/416)84% (310/368)
Long passes
36% (17/47)63% (33/52)
Passes in final third
63% (46/73)70% (79/113)
Crosses
15% (2/13)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.54
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
1219
Tackles
46% (6/13)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.311.83
Goals prevented
0.310.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Kabia A. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Grogan P. , Burton M. (A),
  • 29', Farkarlun B. 🟨,
  • 42', Ciesla D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Burton M. , Badawiya M. ,
  • 60', Torres E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 61', Farkarlun B. , Abarca D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Randell A. ,
  • 66', Randell A. 🟨,
  • 66', Kabia A. , Schumacher B. ,
  • 66', Putt T. , Saidi I. ,
  • 67', Schumacher B. 🟨,
  • 72', Grogan P. , Danciutiu V. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez A. , Avila C. ,
  • 78', Martinez A. , Casillas-Lopez C. ,
  • 80', Djakaria B. 🟨,
  • 83', Farris J. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Mesanvi L. (Pen),
  • 1, Bonachera R. (Pen),
  • 2, Saidi I. (Pen),
  • 2, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 3, Niang B. (Pen),
  • 3, Ciesla D. (Pen),
  • 4, Farris J. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin II
40.8%
Draw
24.4%
Minnesota United 2
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 26.7% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 26.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin II's performance.
  • Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Austin II - Minnesota United 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.62)
    3.77
    (3.44)
    2.65
    (2.41)
    8.7%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Austin II - Minnesota United 2?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austin II (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin II - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 0:1
    08.09.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2
    28.08.2024 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 2:1
    18.07.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2
    10.09.2023 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 2:1
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II221053447:2343
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    5Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    6New York City II23824944:4632
    7Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    8Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville211142446:2443
    2Chattanooga22943634:3338
    3Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    4Orlando City B227221130:4527
    5Carolina Core22544928:3127
    6Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    7Inter Miami II226041234:5322


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC201222449:2642
    2Ventura County221023744:4037
    3Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    5Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    6Los Angeles FC II227211235:4826
    7Portland Timbers 2216231032:3925


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    3Austin FC II22835629:2835
    4Minnesota 221823834:3431
    5North Texas21831935:4331
    6Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    7Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Huntsville211142446:2443
    3Philadelphia Union II221053447:2343
    4Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    5New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    6Chattanooga22943634:3338
    7Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    8New York City II23824944:4632
    9Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    10Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    11Orlando City B227221130:4527
    12Carolina Core22544928:3127
    13Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    14Inter Miami II226041234:5322
    15Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Town FC201222449:2642
    3Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    4Ventura County221023744:4037
    5Austin FC II22835629:2835
    6Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    8Minnesota 221823834:3431
    9North Texas21831935:4331
    10Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    11Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    12Los Angeles FC II227211235:4826
    13Portland Timbers 2216231032:3925
    14Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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