Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : FNL - Round 7
- Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gurchenko D. ↓, Puzanov S. ↑,
- 58', Morozov K. ↓, Tarba Z. ↑,
- 61', Malakhov A. ↓, Kosogorov A. ↑,
- 62', Bozov N. 🟨,
- 69', Aliev S. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
- 72', Golubev A. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
- 72', Gongapshev A. ↓, Shipunov T. ↑,
- 78', Rodionov I. ↓, Gorelov P. ↑,
- 79', Antonov A. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
- 84', Samoilov D. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
- 84', Kul R. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Mironov D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Shinnik
35.7% | Draw
31.3% | Chernomorets Novorossiysk
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↓
(2.89) |
3.03 ↑
(3) |
2.88 ↑
(2.58) |
5.4%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Shinnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chernomorets is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Shinnik won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Shinnik has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Shinnik?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
03.05.2025
Shinnik
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:2
03.11.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Shinnik
0:1
18.03.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Shinnik
1:0
09.09.2023
Shinnik
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
2:1
Latest results of Shinnik
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ural | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Kamaz | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Chelyabinsk | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | R. Volgograd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Rodina Moscow | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Arsenal Tula | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | SKA Khabarovsk | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Yenisey | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Ufa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Chayka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moscow | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 17 | Saratov | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
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