Jasmine Paolini vs Cori Gauff: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/08/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Aces
0	2
Double Faults
2	16
1st Serve Percentage
62%	54%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (31/54)	67% (30/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (12/33)	28% (11/39)
Break Points Saved
30% (3/10)	53% (8/15)
1st Return Points Won
33% (15/45)	43% (23/54)
2nd Return Points Won
69% (27/39)	64% (21/33)
Break Points Converted
47% (7/15)	70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
49% (43/87)	50% (42/84)
Return Points Won
50% (42/84)	51% (44/87)
Total Points Won
50% (85/171)	50% (86/171)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	2
Service Games Won
50% (7/14)	46% (6/13)
Return Games Won
54% (7/13)	50% (7/14)
Total Games Won
52% (14/27)	48% (13/27)

Chances of winning

Jasmine Paolini
31.4%

Cori Gauff
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cori Gauff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.78)		1.4 ↓ (1.45)	3.5% (5.2%)

What is the prediction for Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Gauff will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gauff: 54.1% – 91.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cori Gauff will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Paolini is ranked WTA: 9. Gauff is ranked WTA: 2.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
Gauff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Gauff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Cori Gauff?

Jasmine Paolini has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cori Gauff won against Jasmine Paolini?

Cori Gauff has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff were as follows:

17.05.2025 Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini 0:2

19.04.2025 Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini 0:2

18.08.2023 Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff 0:2

Latest results of Jasmine Paolini

14.08.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Barbora Krejcikova 2:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Ashlyn Krueger 2:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari 2:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Aoi Ito - Jasmine Paolini 2:1 ✺

02.07.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Kamilla Rakhimova 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Cori Gauff

14.08.2025 Lucia Bronzetti - Cori Gauff 0:2 ✺

12.08.2025 Dayana Yastremska - Cori Gauff Gauff C. walkover ✺

10.08.2025 Xin Yu Wang - Cori Gauff 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Cori Gauff - Victoria Mboko 0:2 ✺

31.07.2025 Cori Gauff - Veronika Kudermetova 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Vondrousova M.	Cristian J.	2 : 0
3	Danilovic O.	Boulter K.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Raducanu E. (30)
5	Fernandez L. (21)	Bye
6	Williams V. (WC)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
7	Collins D.	Townsend T. (WC)	0 : 2
8	Bye	Samsonova L. (13)
9	Rybakina E. (9)	Bye
10	Zarazua R.	Putintseva Y.	2 : 1
11	Ngounoue C. (Q)	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
12	Bye	Mertens E. (19)
13	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Bye
14	Ito A. (Q)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
15	Pera B. (WC)	Lys E.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Keys M. (6)
17	Swiatek I. (3)	Bye
18	Potapova A.	Siegemund L. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Osuigwe W. (Q)	Maria T.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Kostyuk M. (25)
21	Frech M. (22)	Bye
22	Cirstea S.	Vekic D.	2 : 1
23	Bucsa C. (LL)	Yuan Y. (LL)	0 : 2
24	Bye	Shnaider D. (14)
25	Alexandrova E. (12)	Bye
26	Sun L.	Ruzic A. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Joint M.	Minnen G.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Haddad Maia B. (18)
29	Kalinskaya A. (28)	Bye
30	Stearns P.	Wang Y.	2 : 0
31	Starodubtseva Y.	Jeanjean L. (Q)	1 : 2
32	Bye	Anisimova A. (5)
33	Navarro E. (8)	Bye
34	Kudermetova P.	Seidel E. (Q)	1 : 2
35	McNally C. (WC)	Inglis M. (Q)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Kessler M. (29)
37	Kenin S. (24)	Bye
38	Gracheva V. (Q)	Volynets K. (WC)	2 : 1
39	Kartal S.	Garcia C. (WC)	1 : 2
40	Bye	Muchova K. (11)
41	Tauson C. (16)	Bye
42	Bondar A.	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
43	Lamens S.	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Bencic B. (17)
45	Linette M. (31)	Bye
46	Dolehide C.	Sramkova R.	1 : 2
47	Blinkova A.	Birrell K.	0 : 2
48	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
49	Paolini J. (7)	Bye
50	Rakhimova K. (Q)	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
51	Sevastova A.	Bektas E. (Q)	2 : 1
52	Bye	Krueger A. (26)
53	Noskova L. (20)	Bye
54	Jovic I. (LL)	Sierra S. (LL)	2 : 0
55	Parks A.	Krejcikova B.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Svitolina E. (10)
57	Kasatkina D. (15)	Bye
58	Zhu L.	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
59	Uchijima M.	Osorio C.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (23)
61	Yastremska D. (32)	Bye
62	Li A.	Tomova V. (Q)	0 : 2
63	Wang Xin.	Arango E.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Gauff C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Vondrousova M.	2 : 0
2	Danilovic O.	Raducanu E. (30)	0 : 2
3	Fernandez L. (21)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
4	Townsend T.	Samsonova L. (13)	2 : 0
5	Rybakina E. (9)	Zarazua R.	2 : 1
6	Ngounoue C.	Mertens E. (19)	1 : 2
7	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Ito A.	1 : 2
8	Lys E.	Keys M. (6)	1 : 2
9	Swiatek I. (3)	Potapova A.	2 : 0
10	Maria T.	Kostyuk M. (25)	0 : 2
11	Frech M. (22)	Cirstea S.	1 : 2
12	Yuan Y.	Shnaider D. (14)	2 : 1
13	Alexandrova E. (12)	Sun L.	2 : 0
14	Joint M.	Haddad Maia B. (18)	2 : 1
15	Kalinskaya A. (28)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
16	Jeanjean L.	Anisimova A. (WO.) (5)
17	Navarro E. (8)	Seidel E.	1 : 2
18	McNally C.	Kessler M. (29)	0 : 2
19	Kenin S. (24)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
20	Garcia C.	Muchova K. (11)	0 : 2
21	Tauson C. (16)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 1
22	Kudermetova V.	Bencic B. (17)	2 : 0
23	Linette M. (31)	Sramkova R.	2 : 0
24	Birrell K.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
25	Paolini J. (7)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
26	Sevastova A.	Krueger A. (26)	1 : 2
27	Noskova L. (20)	Jovic I.	0 : 2
28	Krejcikova B.	Svitolina E. (10)	2 : 1
29	Kasatkina D. (15)	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
30	Osorio C.	Ostapenko J. (WO.) (23)
31	Yastremska D. (32)	Tomova V.	2 : 1
32	Wang Xin.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Raducanu E. (30)	2 : 1
2	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Townsend T.	2 : 0
3	Rybakina E. (9)	Mertens E. (19)	2 : 1
4	Ito A.	Keys M. (6)	0 : 2
5	Swiatek I. (WO.) (3)	Kostyuk M. (25)
6	Cirstea S.	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
7	Alexandrova E. (12)	Joint M.	2 : 0
8	Kalinskaya A. (28)	Anisimova A. (5)	2 : 0
9	Seidel E.	Kessler M. (29)	2 : 1
10	Gracheva V.	Muchova K. (11)	2 : 0
11	Tauson C. (16)	Kudermetova V.	1 : 2
12	Linette M. (31)	Pegula J. (4)	2 : 1
13	Paolini J. (7)	Krueger A. (26)	2 : 0
14	Jovic I.	Krejcikova B.	1 : 2
15	Bronzetti L.	Ostapenko J. (23)	2 : 1
16	Yastremska D. (32)	Gauff C. (WO.) (2)

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (9)	Keys M. (6)	2 : 1
3	Swiatek I. (3)	Cirstea S.	2 : 0
4	Alexandrova E. (12)	Kalinskaya A. (28)	1 : 2
5	Seidel E.	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
6	Kudermetova V.	Linette M. (31)	2 : 0
7	Paolini J. (7)	Krejcikova B.	2 : 0
8	Bronzetti L.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rybakina E. (9)	0 : 2
2	Swiatek I. (3)	Kalinskaya A. (28)	2 : 0
3	Gracheva V.	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
4	Paolini J. (7)	Gauff C. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Rybakina E. (9)	Swiatek I. (3)	0 : 2
2	Kudermetova V.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2

Final

1

Swiatek I. (3)

Paolini J. (7)

Which TV channels are streaming of Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff?

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