Result
1:1 penalties
17/08/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS
- Referee: Kralovic P. (Svk)
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Chances of winning
Derry City
46.9% | Draw
28.4% | Tobol Kostanay
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derry City's performance.Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derry City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Derry City - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.49) |
3.23 ↓
(3.31) |
3.83 ↑
(2.65) |
6.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derry City - Tobol Kostanay?
Users Predictions:
Derry City will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 0-1.
- Derry is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Tobol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tobol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Derry will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Derry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Tobol Kostanay?
Derry City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Derry City?
Tobol Kostanay has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
10.08.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Derry City
1:0
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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