Parramatta Eels vs St. George Illawarra Dragons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL Parramatta Eels - St. George Illawarra Dragons
Result
23:22 OT
05/04/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 5
Parramatta Eels - St. George Illawarra Dragons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
33
Conversion Goals
33
Conversion Goal Attempts
33
Penalty Goals
22
Penalty Goal Attempts
22
Goals %
100100
Dropped Goals
10
Dropped Goal Attempts
10
Total Runs
200188
Metres Run With Ball
17071497

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (8 - 14)
  • 6', Lomax Z. (Penalty Goal),
  • 16', Gutherson C. (Try),
  • 16', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', Holmes V. (Penalty Goal),
  • 24', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
  • 26', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Tuipulotu C. (Try),
  • 36', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (14 - 8)
  • 46', Gutherson C. (Try),
  • 47', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Iongi I. (Try),
  • 59', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Kautoga K. (Try),
  • 64', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 69', Holmes V. (Penalty Goal),
  • 74', Lomax Z. (Penalty Goal),
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 84', Lomax Z. (Drop Goal),

Chances of winning


Parramatta Eels
36.3%
Draw
4.1%
St. George Illawarra Dragons
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 4.3% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 4.7% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parramatta Eels's form might have worsened.
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. George Illawarra Dragons's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Parramatta Eels - St. George Illawarra Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.19)
    21.83
    (21.33)
    1.57
    (1.73)
    7.1%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 48.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Parramatta won 3.
    • Parramatta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches St. George Illawarra is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Parramatta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently St. George Illawarra have a series of home games.
    • St. George Illawarra will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Parramatta won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 477:317 (average 23.9:15.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Parramatta won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 369:234 (average 26.4:16.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parramatta Eels - St. George Illawarra Dragons were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Parramatta Eels - St. George Illawarra Dragons 44:40
    06.08.2023 Parramatta Eels - St. George Illawarra Dragons 26:20
    Latest results of Parramatta Eels
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canterbury Bulldogs13112330:23226
    2Canberra Raiders14113396:30024
    3New Zealand Warriors13103291:25624
    4Melbourne Storm1284404:23322
    5Cronulla Sharks1486332:30618
    6Dolphins1477408:26216
    7Brisbane Broncos1367338:29416
    8Sydney Roosters1367302:32016
    9Penrith Panthers1357286:29515
    10NQ Cowboys1357278:38415
    11Manly Sea Eagles1468322:30014
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons1358272:33114
    13Wests Tigers1358268:33014
    14South Sydney Rabbitohs1468241:32914
    15Newcastle Knights1459193:26212
    16Parramatta Eels1349231:33612
    17Gold Coast Titans1349268:39012

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