América Mineiro vs Bahia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A América Mineiro - Bahia
Result
3:2
03/12/2023 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 37
América Mineiro - Bahia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
24.6%
Draw
25.5%
Bahia
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.7% 27.1% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 25.5% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • América Mineiro - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (3.96)
    3.72
    (3.46)
    1.9
    (1.91)
    5.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: Bahia will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • América MG is Relegated to Serie B
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 2.
    • América MG has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Bahia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bahia will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in América MG: Aloisio (Injury) Matheusinho (Injury) Nicolas Vichiatto (Injury) Rodrigo Varanda (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Raul Gustavo (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches América MG won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Bahia were as follows:
    06.08.2023 Bahia - América Mineiro 3:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Bahia
    29.11.2023 Bahia - São Paulo 0:1
    24.11.2023 Corinthians - Bahia 1:5
    09.11.2023 Bahia - Cuiabá 0:3
    04.11.2023 Grêmio - Bahia 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1545614:21-717
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1535716:21-514
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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