Las Palmas vs Cádiz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Las Palmas - Cádiz
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
Las Palmas - Cádiz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.41
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
86% (462/536)75% (259/347)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.150.33
Total shots
148
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
86% (462/536)75% (259/347)
Long passes
45% (18/40)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
69% (77/112)63% (55/88)
Crosses
15% (3/20)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.49
Throw-ins
209
Fouls
1118
Tackles
25% (1/4)46% (6/13)
Duels won
3939
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.330.15
Goals prevented
0.33-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Carcelen I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Carcelen I. , Caicedo A. ,
  • 48', Climent M. 🟨,
  • 54', Caicedo A. 🟨,
  • 64', Ontiveros J. , Diarra Y. ,
  • 65', Gil I. , Viera J. ,
  • 65', Viti , Recoba J. ,
  • 67', Clemente E. 🟨,
  • 77', Loiodice E. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 81', Tabatadze I. , Pereira R. ,
  • 85', Alex Suarez , Herzog J. ,
  • 85', Fuster M. , Mata J. ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Sergio Barcia , Viera J. (A),
  • 89', Diakite M. , Camara D. ,
  • 89', Climent M. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 90+5', Ortuno S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Las Palmas
50.1%
Draw
29.3%
Cádiz
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 28.4% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 31.8% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Las Palmas - Cádiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.8)
    3.18
    (3.32)
    4.55
    (4.84)
    6.1%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Cádiz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
    • In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cádiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Las Palmas is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Lukovic M. (Red Card) Marmol M. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cádiz: Ugiagbe E. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Cádiz were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Cádiz - Las Palmas 2:1
    19.05.2024 Cádiz - Las Palmas 0:0
    17.12.2023 Las Palmas - Cádiz 1:1
    28.07.2023 Cádiz - Las Palmas 0:1
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    27.09.2025 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1
    20.09.2025 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:1
    07.09.2025 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    Latest results of Cádiz
    28.09.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:0
    21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1
    13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0
    07.09.2025 Real Sociedad B - Cádiz 3:3
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cadiz CF953110:6418
    2Dep. La Coruna944117:9816
    3Racing Santander951322:16616
    4Valladolid943210:6415
    5Las Palmas94328:5315
    6Almeria943218:16215
    7Andorra942313:13014
    8Huesca94148:11-313
    9Burgos CF933313:10312
    10Eibar933310:7312
    11Castellon933313:12112
    12Gijon940513:15-212
    13Cordoba933310:12-212
    14Ceuta93338:12-412
    15Leganes92528:7111
    16Malaga93249:10-111
    17Albacete924314:16-210
    18Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    19Mirandes92349:12-39
    20Granada CF923411:15-49
    21Cultural Leonesa92257:13-68
    22Zaragoza91356:12-66

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Las Palmas - Cádiz?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
    ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDSports 9
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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