Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Vilius Gaubas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas
Result
0:2
26/09/2025 at 09:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Quarter-finals
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
78%67%
1st Serve Points Won
51% (24/47)71% (29/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (8/13)50% (10/20)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
37% (15/41)49% (23/47)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (10/20)38% (5/13)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
52% (30/58)64% (39/61)
Return Points Won
36% (22/61)48% (28/58)
Total Points Won
44% (52/119)56% (67/119)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
42.8%
Vilius Gaubas
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 56.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.15)

    1.65
    (1.69)
    3.7%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 173. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 165.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
    22.04.2024 Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar 2:0
    17.02.2024 Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar 1:2
    14.11.2023 Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar 2:0
    27.07.2023 Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan