Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Basketball WNBA Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream
Result
66:74
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : WNBA
Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6965
Field Goals Made
2425
Field Goals %
34.8%38.5%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4633
2-Point Field Goals Made
1816
2-Point Field Goals %
39.1%48.5%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2332
3-Point Field Goals Made
69
3-Point Field Goals %
26.1%28.1%
Free Throws Attempted
1419
Free Throws Made
1215
Free Throws %
85.7%78.9%
Offensive Rebounds
99
Defensive Rebounds
2529
Total Rebounds
3438
Assists
1620
Blocks
36
Turnovers
1210
Steals
611
Personal Fouls
1915

Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
56.9%
Atlanta Dream
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Atlanta Dream has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.56)

    2.23
    (2.34)
    3.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 166.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream?
  • Users Predictions: Atlanta Dream will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.13%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta Dream will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:81.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 2.
    • Phoenix has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Atlanta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Phoenix might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1545:1555. (average 77.3:77.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 827:777. (average 82.7:77.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream were as follows:
    01.08.2025 Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury 96:72
    23.07.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream 79:90
    03.09.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream 74:66
    23.08.2024 Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury 80:82
    21.08.2024 Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury 72:63
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of Atlanta Dream
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Golden State Valkyries W (8)1 : 0
    2Phoenix Mercury W (4)New York Liberty W (5)0 : 1
    3Las Vegas Aces W (2)Seattle Storm W (7)1 : 0
    4Atlanta Dream W (3)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 0
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan