Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball WNBA Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury
01/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : WNBA
Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Atlanta Dream
44.5%
Phoenix Mercury
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Dream has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta Dream's form might have worsened.
  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Mercury's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Dream, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Mercury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.88)

    1.73
    (1.86)
    4.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury?
  • Users Predictions: Atlanta Dream will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta Dream will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 81:84.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Recent performances by Atlanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Phoenix's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Phoenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Atlanta will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1554:1577. (average 77.7:78.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 682:646. (average 75.8:71.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    23.07.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream 79:90
    03.09.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream 74:66
    23.08.2024 Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury 80:82
    21.08.2024 Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury 72:63
    18.05.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream 88:85
    Latest results of Atlanta Dream
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W282352418:21280.821
    2Phoenix Mercury W2616102179:21030.615
    3Seattle Storm W2716112178:20940.593
    4Las Vegas Aces W2714132204:22210.519
    5Golden State Valkyries W2613132036:20300.500
    6Los Angeles Sparks W2611152200:22710.423
    7Dallas Wings W288202302:24220.286


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W261792285:21160.654
    2Atlanta Dream W2716112258:21360.593
    3Indiana Fever W2715122301:21910.556
    4Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    5Chicago Sky W267192005:22800.269
    6Connecticut Sun W254211865:22010.160


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W282352418:21280.821
    2New York Liberty W261792285:21160.654
    3Phoenix Mercury W2616102179:21030.615
    4Atlanta Dream W2716112258:21360.593
    5Seattle Storm W2716112178:20940.593
    6Indiana Fever W2715122301:21910.556
    7Las Vegas Aces W2714132204:22210.519
    8Golden State Valkyries W2613132036:20300.500
    9Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    10Los Angeles Sparks W2611152200:22710.423
    11Dallas Wings W288202302:24220.286
    12Chicago Sky W267192005:22800.269
    13Connecticut Sun W254211865:22010.160

          Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )

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