Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Cup Orenburg - Rubin Kazan
Result
1:0 penalties
16/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 4
Orenburg - Rubin Kazan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
131
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
137
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
105
Corner Kicks
131
Free Kicks
1316
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Cumic N. 🟨,
  • 24', Cumic N. 🟨,
  • 36', Tataev A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tataev A. , Du Queiroz ,
  • 61', Apshatsev M. , Hodza V. ,
  • 61', Ivanov O. , Shvets A. ,
  • 61', Rybchinskiy D. , Thompson J. ,
  • 61', Revazov A. , Gurluk E. ,
  • 68', Jukic A. , Iwu U. ,
  • 74', Alexandre Jesus , Savelyev M. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', Bezrukov R. , Rozhkov I. ,
  • 90', Vedernikov D. , Gorelov P. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Du Queiroz (Pen),
  • 1, Shvets A. (Pen),
  • 2, Thompson J. (Pen),
  • 2, Hodza V. (Pen),
  • 3, Gurluk E. (Pen),
  • 3, Siwe J. (Pen),
  • 4, Koserik N. (Pen),
  • 4, Nizhegorodov K. (Pen),
  • 5, Savelyev M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Orenburg
30.8%
Draw
28.3%
Rubin Kazan
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.9% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 29.7% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Orenburg - Rubin Kazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.8)
    3.47
    (3.25)
    2.27
    (2.5)
    3.6%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Orenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 2:2
    31.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 2:0
    24.05.2025 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 4:2
    27.10.2024 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 1:2
    08.04.2024 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 3:0
    Latest results of Orenburg
    13.09.2025 Pari NN - Orenburg 3:1
    30.08.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 2:2
    26.08.2025 Orenburg - Zenit 3:5
    22.08.2025 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:2
    17.08.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg 1:2
    Latest results of Rubin Kazan
    Russian Cup Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Zenit ✔ 5500013:515
    2Orenburg521026:88
    3Rubin Kazan510132:64
    4Akhmat Grozny510045:73


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Krasnodar5310111:511
    2Krylya Sovetov512117:78
    3Dynamo Moscow520217:68
    4Sochi501138:153


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ 532008:413
    2Spartak Moscow5301110:410
    3FK Rostov510134:84
    4Pari NN510043:93


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1CSKA Moscow521206:310
    2Lokomotiv Moscow530118:310
    3Baltika511035:75
    4Akron Togliatti511034:105

          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
    Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Orenburg - Rubin Kazan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    belarusBelarusBelarus 5
    russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
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