Atlético Goianiense vs Grêmio Novorizontino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 6
  • Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)
Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.87
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
62% (123/200)88% (440/502)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.520.46
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
62% (123/200)88% (440/502)
Long passes
26% (17/65)51% (23/45)
Passes in final third
39% (22/57)80% (103/129)
Crosses
15% (2/13)24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.59
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
1611
Tackles
86% (6/7)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3548
Clearances
2415
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.460.52
Goals prevented
0.46-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Dantas 🟨,
  • 27', Jean Irmer 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Marcelinho ,
  • 38', Marcelinho 🟥,
  • 40', Dantas , Waguininho ,
  • 40', Jean Irmer , Marlon ,
  • 41', Waguininho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Nathan Fogaca , Lucca ,
  • 66', Rafael Donato , Willian Farias ,
  • 70', Robert Conceicao , Ruan Teixeira ,
  • 70', Sandro Lima , Leo Naldi ,
  • 72', Luis Oyama , Bruno Jose ,
  • 79', Willian Pottker , Martinez F. ,
  • 81', Luizao 🟨,
  • 87', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Vladimir 🟨,
  • 90+6', Leo Naldi 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Goianiense
37.3%
Draw
32.2%
Grêmio Novorizontino
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 29.7% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 30% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Goianiense's form might have worsened.
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.1)
    2.91
    (3.13)
    3.08
    (3.59)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Novorizontino has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético GO: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Rhaldney (Yellow Cards) Shaylon (Injury)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Cesar Martins (Injury) Renato Palm (Inactive) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    01.11.2023 Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:2
    07.07.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias21125428:181041
    2Coritiba21116422:14839
    3Novorizontino2199324:17736
    4Chapecoense-SC21104728:20834
    5Remo2189423:19433
    6Criciuma2195727:20732
    7Avai2188529:21832
    8Cuiaba2194824:24031
    9Vila Nova FC2193920:20030
    10CRB2184923:21228
    11Atletico GO2169621:21027
    12Operario-PR2175923:22126
    13Athletico-PR2175927:31-426
    14Ferroviaria2168722:23-126
    15Athletic Club21731123:28-524
    16Volta Redonda2157914:23-922
    17America MG21631221:29-821
    18Botafogo SP21561014:30-1621
    19Paysandu PA2149819:23-421
    20Amazonas2148921:29-820

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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