Delfín vs SD Aucas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Delfín - SD Aucas
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 7
  • Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
Delfín - SD Aucas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.59
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
74% (252/341)71% (235/332)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.65
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1726
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
74% (252/341)71% (235/332)
Long passes
44% (33/75)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
62% (63/102)62% (65/105)
Crosses
20% (3/15)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.94
Fouls
1513
Tackles
74% (17/23)79% (19/24)
Duels won
6262
Clearances Total
2623
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.650.77
Goals prevented
0.65-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Cuello B. , Gallardo N. (A),
  • 39', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
  • 45', Pereyra G. 🟨,
  • 45', Pereyra G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Phillips R. , Leon J. ,
  • 46', Carcelen Carabali M. A. , Cano L. ,
  • 46', Carabali B. , Almagro A. ,
  • 59', Heras B. , Cardenas Salazar O. B. ,
  • 67', Serpa T. , Mina A. ,
  • 70', Cano L. 🟨,
  • 74', Levato M. , Cagua G. ,
  • 80', Briones R. , Gruezo E. ,
  • 80', Porozo S. , Zambrano C. ,
  • 81', Leon J. 🟨,
  • 82', Cuello B. , Nazareno J. ,
  • 82', Castro L. , Estacio J. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Segura E. , Mina J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Delfín
31.3%
Draw
29.4%
SD Aucas
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 31.6% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 30.4% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Delfín - SD Aucas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.71)
    3.12
    (2.94)
    2.38
    (2.72)
    8%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Delfín - SD Aucas?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Aucas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Delfín won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Delfín won 5 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:26 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Delfín won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - SD Aucas were as follows:
    24.11.2024 SD Aucas - Delfín 2:0
    25.05.2024 Delfín - SD Aucas 2:0
    25.11.2023 SD Aucas - Delfín 0:0
    11.06.2023 Delfín - SD Aucas 2:0
    Latest results of Delfín
    15.03.2025 Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca 0:0
    08.03.2025 LDU Quito - Delfín 3:0
    03.03.2025 Manta - Delfín 2:2
    22.02.2025 Delfín - Emelec 2:0
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle20117237:181940
    2LDU Quito20106435:191636
    3Barcelona SC20105532:25735
    4Orense19103623:22133
    5Dep. Cuenca19102723:17632
    6Aucas1985626:24229
    7Libertad1976629:26327
    8U. Catolica2067731:28325
    9Delfin1967619:27-825
    10EL Nacional1965823:28-523
    11Manta2058727:33-623
    12Vinotinto1964925:25022
    13Macara2057819:20-122
    14Emelec2057815:24-922
    15Mushuc Runa19441123:36-1316
    16Tecnico U20271118:33-1513

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Delfín - SD Aucas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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