Result
4:1
15/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 16
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (263/319) | 87% (343/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (263/319) | 87% (343/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 74% (42/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (74/104) | 63% (57/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Arroyo L. ⚽, Estupinan L. (A),
- 6', Arroyo L. 🟨,
- 14', 2 - 0, Estupinan L. ⚽, Moreno K. (A),
- 15', Estupinan L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 3 - 0, Luna Tobar C. (Pen),
- 62', 3 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽, Bedoya A. (A),
- 63', Chala J. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
- 63', Flor F. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
- 74', Hernandez B. ↓, Borja F. ↑,
- 75', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 85', Branda V. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
- 85', Cela A. ↓, Maya J. ↑,
- 87', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟨,
- 88', Arroyo L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 88', Chacon J. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Luna Tobar C. ⚽, Noboa D. (A),
- 90+1', Estupinan L. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
47.3% | Draw
27.9% | El Nacional
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.89) |
3.27 ↑
(3.21) |
3.71 ↓
(4.08) |
8.7%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Deportivo Cuenca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against El Nacional?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Deportivo Cuenca?
El Nacional has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional were as follows:
16.02.2025
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
31.08.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
El Nacional
1:2
24.03.2024
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
25.11.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
El Nacional
1:0
10.06.2023
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:1
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Orense | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 41 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 39 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 28 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
