Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 33
Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.57
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
83% (533/639)69% (214/309)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.600.22
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2511
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
83% (533/639)69% (214/309)
Long passes
44% (27/62)21% (13/61)
Passes in final third
73% (132/181)36% (29/80)
Crosses
11% (1/9)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.51
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1212
Tackles
56% (5/9)48% (10/21)
Duels won
5853
Clearances
1726
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.221.60
Goals prevented
-0.780.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Koizumi Y. , Nakama H. (A),
  • 45+3', Nakama H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Croux J. , Amano J. ,
  • 64', Yuri Araujo , Miyaichi R. ,
  • 64', Uenaka A. , Inoue K. ,
  • 64', Tsunoda R. , Deng T. ,
  • 74', Nakama H. , Toshima S. ,
  • 77', Nakagawa N. , Harakawa R. ,
  • 86', Diego , Yamanouchi Y. ,
  • 87', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 87', Kida T. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 87', Koyamatsu T. , Mitsumaru H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
57.2%
Draw
23.2%
Yokohama F. Marinos
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 23.3% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 22.7% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.67)
    4.06
    (4.07)
    4.77
    (4.73)
    5.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%). Yokohama FM (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Kashiwa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Matsubara K. (Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kashiwa: Yamada Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0
    03.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol 1:4
    14.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol 0:2
    05.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0
    29.05.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol 4:0
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, NHK BS1
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