Gnistan vs KTP Kotka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Gnistan - KTP Kotka
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
Gnistan - KTP Kotka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
81% (320/395)71% (244/342)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.030.89
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
81% (320/395)71% (244/342)
Long passes
42% (22/52)32% (26/81)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)60% (64/107)
Crosses
22% (5/23)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.28
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
1311
Tackles
71% (10/14)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4044
Clearances
2429
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.892.03
Goals prevented
-0.11-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Bashkirov E. 🟨,
  • 20', Lehtiranta J. 🟨,
  • 33', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Forsell P. , Sumusalo M. (A),
  • 37', Gnanou R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Weckstrom L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Tarvonen A. , Glasson M. ,
  • 51', Forsell P. 🟨,
  • 54', Olufunwa O. , Pettersson O. ,
  • 54', Hafstad D. , Toivonen H. ,
  • 60', Toivio J. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Latonen J. , Heiskanen S. (A),
  • 70', Weckstrom L. , Edlund C. ,
  • 75', Heiskanen S. 🟨,
  • 77', Larsen M. , Oddei B. ,
  • 84', Forsell P. , Makela J. ,
  • 86', Elle Essouma F. , Tulehmo A. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Latonen J. ,
  • 90+5', Latonen J. , Atarah A. ,

Chances of winning


Gnistan
55.4%
Draw
22.7%
KTP Kotka
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 22% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 21.7% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Gnistan - KTP Kotka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.64)
    4.19
    (4.29)
    4.35
    (4.63)
    5.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.
    • Gnistan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • KTP has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • KTP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gnistan is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Eremenko R. (Inactive) Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury) Pettersson O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in KTP: Makela J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - KTP Kotka were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Gnistan - KTP Kotka 3:0
    31.05.2023 KTP Kotka - Gnistan 2:1
    Latest results of Gnistan
    11.06.2025 Haka - Gnistan 3:2
    01.06.2025 Gnistan - Ilves 0:2
    28.05.2025 Gnistan - Ilves 3:0
    24.05.2025 FF Jaro - Gnistan 1:1
    16.05.2025 Gnistan - SJK 2:2
    Latest results of KTP Kotka
    31.05.2025 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 2:2
    28.05.2025 KPV Kokkola - KTP Kotka 2:0
    23.05.2025 KTP Kotka - Haka 0:0
    17.05.2025 HJK - KTP Kotka 4:1
    10.05.2025 KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka 3:0
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS1272316:12423
    2Ilves1171324:121222
    3Inter Turku1064019:71222
    4HJK1162325:101520
    5SJK1253420:18218
    6VPS1052319:15417
    7Gnistan1042414:16-214
    8Haka1033413:15-212
    9Mariehamn1132612:25-1311
    10Jaro102268:14-68
    11KTP1013610:24-146
    12AC Oulu1112813:25-125

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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